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Tour de Pologne Discussion
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| seancoll |
Posted on 28-12-2023 03:24
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 Tour de Pologne
HC – 7 Stages
The 7 stages in Poland offer a wide variety of finishes with an emphasis on our hill specialists. A stage 1 prologue will open up the time gaps as GC hopefuls and stage hunters both attack the 7.7km solo ride. Stages 2, 6, and 7 all feature hilly [i] mountain-top[/b] finishes. Officially these should still benefit those puncheurs, but a strong climbers should also be able to make a difference, especially on stages 6 and 7. Stages 3 and 4 should benefit the pure flat sprinters, especially given the length of the stages. Stage 5 is most versatile with a hilly lead-up to a punchy, but flat finish. Expect the flat specialists not to make the finish, but some sprinters may think they can find success here.
History
Tour de Pologne is entering its 7th consecutive season in the HC calendar, with a variety of other opportunities pre-2017.
Joseph Areruya returns as the defending champion. Areruya won 2 stages, GC and the points jersey last year so more than just a pure GC win will be necessary to relive last year’s success. Marcus Faglum Karlsson is the next best returner with his 7th in 2022. The only other Tour de Pologne taking the start line is Eduard Alexander Beltran who took the GC in 2015. Beltran has 3 stage wins from 2014 and 2021.
Let’s look at each of the teams racing here:
| | | | | | | | | |  Assa Abloy | PCT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Gibbons | 75 | 59 | 65 | 67 | 73 | 72 | 73 | 78 | 78 | 65 | 68 | 72 | 29 | | Gesbert | 71 | 74 | 80 | 64 | 80 | 78 | 78 | 68 | 73 | 76 | 66 | 66 | 28 | | Hoole | 69 | 68 | 66 | 70 | 70 | 73 | 67 | 68 | 68 | 69 | 69 | 67 | 24 | | Kvist | 67 | 69 | 71 | 64 | 73 | 71 | 65 | 67 | 73 | 77 | 73 | 63 | 24 | | Mosca | 71 | 72 | 75 | 63 | 73 | 75 | 68 | 65 | 75 | 80 | 71 | 68 | 30 | | Faglum Karlsson | 71 | 79 | 73 | 73 | 78 | 75 | 76 | 60 | 68 | 66 | 74 | 79 | 29 | | Chaves | 69 | 75 | 78 | 67 | 73 | 72 | 70 | 59 | 71 | 68 | 63 | 67 | 33 | | Gebremedhin | 69 | 77 | 74 | 64 | 73 | 74 | 76 | 55 | 75 | 78 | 66 | 64 | 31 |
★★★★★
Faglum Karlsson returns as one of the top GC finishers from the last edition with a great prologue capability. Gesbert should also stay in contention for many of the tougher finishers and could take a stage or two. Gibbons is here for the sprint stages.
| | | | | | | | | |  Bordeaux Métropole - Euskotren | CT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Wackermann | 74 | 68 | 74 | 53 | 74 | 74 | 73 | 74 | 72 | 70 | 64 | 51 | 31 | | Le Berre | 67 | 64 | 68 | 65 | 68 | 69 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 68 | 66 | 62 | 22 | | Rodriguez | 70 | 70 | 76 | 67 | 76 | 70 | 70 | 65 | 71 | 75 | 74 | 67 | 28 | | Tatarinov | 69 | 75 | 74 | 63 | 71 | 71 | 68 | 65 | 73 | 76 | 63 | 63 | 32 | | Lafay | 66 | 75 | 77 | 63 | 72 | 72 | 72 | 63 | 74 | 78 | 67 | 61 | 27 | | Berthet | 64 | 73 | 72 | 58 | 68 | 72 | 64 | 62 | 72 | 71 | 75 | 58 | 24 | | Serrano | 65 | 64 | 68 | 64 | 71 | 74 | 67 | 60 | 68 | 69 | 71 | 62 | 22 | | Agirrebeitia | 66 | 67 | 63 | 69 | 66 | 68 | 62 | 55 | 65 | 59 | 72 | 65 | 22 |
★★
Victor Lafay is the best chance for this CT group and should be contesting for a top 15-20 GC spot. Wackerman may be in the group trying to survive for a strong sprint on stage 5.
| | | | | | | | | |  Bralirwa - Stevens | PCT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Willems | 68 | 57 | 63 | 62 | 71 | 73 | 60 | 72 | 72 | 66 | 66 | 65 | 22 | | Tesfatsion | 67 | 75 | 76 | 61 | 66 | 71 | 73 | 68 | 76 | 72 | 63 | 62 | 24 | | Habimana | 69 | 65 | 70 | 62 | 69 | 70 | 63 | 66 | 71 | 71 | 67 | 66 | 22 | | Van Eetvelt | 67 | 70 | 69 | 61 | 73 | 71 | 65 | 66 | 68 | 63 | 64 | 59 | 22 | | Ndayisenga | 66 | 78 | 75 | 65 | 69 | 68 | 73 | 63 | 73 | 72 | 69 | 65 | 29 | | Mugisha | 67 | 71 | 75 | 62 | 64 | 74 | 71 | 63 | 73 | 80 | 64 | 61 | 26 | | Eyob | 68 | 76 | 76 | 66 | 74 | 69 | 73 | 62 | 66 | 72 | 73 | 66 | 30 | | Meintjes | 71 | 80 | 78 | 71 | 77 | 76 | 78 | 61 | 69 | 71 | 74 | 71 | 31 |
★★★★
Louis Meintjes is clearly the GC leader and will be trying to make the biggest difference on the longer climbs. His combination of MO – HI – STA should give him a good chance to contest against Areruya. Ndayisega is an all-star domestique for Meintjes while Mugisha might join a breakaway or two.
| | | | | | | | | |  Colombini Cycling | PCT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | El Sabbahi | 77 | 64 | 69 | 64 | 72 | 76 | 77 | 78 | 77 | 68 | 68 | 72 | 26 | | Olei | 69 | 66 | 73 | 62 | 73 | 71 | 72 | 75 | 75 | 62 | 62 | 69 | 27 | | Kelderman | 70 | 71 | 82 | 70 | 80 | 75 | 73 | 67 | 72 | 77 | 71 | 70 | 32 | | Gebrezgabihier | 68 | 70 | 79 | 66 | 74 | 74 | 72 | 67 | 69 | 77 | 66 | 64 | 29 | | Vliegen | 71 | 67 | 77 | 61 | 76 | 70 | 70 | 66 | 74 | 71 | 69 | 67 | 30 | | Bonello | 70 | 66 | 68 | 67 | 70 | 69 | 69 | 66 | 66 | 64 | 70 | 68 | 23 | | Martino | 67 | 71 | 65 | 64 | 71 | 70 | 71 | 65 | 67 | 69 | 69 | 64 | 23 | | Tiberi | 65 | 68 | 65 | 68 | 64 | 66 | 61 | 60 | 67 | 69 | 67 | 67 | 22 |
★★★★★
Wilco Kelderman comes with the best hill stat of the entire startlist! He’ll be tough to beat and should be Colombini’s focus here. El Sabbahi will contest the sprint stages while Gebrezgabihier will be Kelderman’s last man in support.
| | | | | | | | | |  DK Zalgiris | PCT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Losch | 73 | 52 | 65 | 62 | 72 | 68 | 75 | 78 | 79 | 78 | 63 | 66 | 30 | | Pszczolarski | 73 | 60 | 70 | 74 | 68 | 72 | 67 | 71 | 72 | 68 | 65 | 77 | 32 | | Budenieks | 69 | 75 | 75 | 63 | 70 | 75 | 72 | 69 | 74 | 75 | 72 | 61 | 28 | | Laas | 67 | 74 | 76 | 62 | 68 | 73 | 73 | 67 | 76 | 68 | 57 | 62 | 30 | | Smith | 69 | 78 | 75 | 68 | 72 | 74 | 75 | 66 | 74 | 75 | 71 | 65 | 30 | | Lasinis | 69 | 77 | 72 | 74 | 73 | 72 | 74 | 61 | 68 | 67 | 69 | 74 | 26 | | Pronskiy | 64 | 77 | 73 | 63 | 73 | 72 | 77 | 61 | 73 | 73 | 70 | 63 | 25 | | Moscon | 71 | 73 | 80 | 66 | 76 | 77 | 75 | 59 | 73 | 71 | 69 | 70 | 29 |
★★★★
Moscon will lead the hill squad here while the team has also opted for a mountain focused team. Smith, Lasinis, and Pronskiy all looked prepped to take time should the early climbs take more energy than expected. Losch is one of the top options for the flat stages but won’t make it over the undulating terrain.
| | | | | | | | | |  DuckDuckGo - Everesting | PCT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Petit | 75 | 51 | 64 | 60 | 74 | 70 | 76 | 79 | 76 | 64 | 67 | 65 | 33 | | Kulikovskiy | 72 | 64 | 71 | 64 | 69 | 73 | 77 | 76 | 77 | 65 | 67 | 66 | 26 | | Guerreiro | 71 | 76 | 77 | 62 | 73 | 73 | 77 | 72 | 72 | 61 | 67 | 62 | 29 | | Stannard | 73 | 73 | 79 | 67 | 75 | 76 | 74 | 69 | 78 | 74 | 69 | 68 | 25 | | Zegklis | 70 | 69 | 71 | 64 | 71 | 72 | 70 | 67 | 71 | 76 | 77 | 64 | 27 | | Henao | 65 | 76 | 76 | 66 | 71 | 73 | 71 | 63 | 70 | 68 | 67 | 64 | 30 | | Orosco | 68 | 72 | 69 | 67 | 71 | 65 | 69 | 63 | 64 | 67 | 63 | 64 | 24 | | Ponce | 66 | 68 | 69 | 68 | 66 | 69 | 70 | 62 | 66 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 26 |
★★★
Stannard and Guerreiro are the two GC hopes for DuckDuckGo – Everesting, they’ll be outside hopes, but Guerreiro should be a stage favorite come stage 5 if he can make it to last 5km in the front group. Petit will look to represent in the sprint stages.
| | | | | | | | | |  Fastned | PCT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Vanhoucke | 71 | 77 | 72 | 72 | 71 | 72 | 76 | 67 | 68 | 72 | 70 | 73 | 26 | | Pluimers | 68 | 60 | 66 | 60 | 70 | 73 | 64 | 67 | 65 | 69 | 62 | 63 | 23 | | Olivier | 72 | 81 | 76 | 69 | 76 | 80 | 77 | 64 | 71 | 70 | 71 | 69 | 31 | | Duric | 68 | 60 | 69 | 60 | 71 | 72 | 69 | 64 | 70 | 65 | 71 | 59 | 23 | | Denz | 71 | 74 | 76 | 67 | 70 | 70 | 70 | 63 | 73 | 71 | 65 | 71 | 29 | | van Sintmaartensdijk | 71 | 61 | 63 | 66 | 67 | 67 | 67 | 63 | 70 | 63 | 62 | 66 | 22 | | Cras | 68 | 78 | 72 | 73 | 78 | 77 | 77 | 60 | 67 | 61 | 67 | 70 | 27 | | Hessmann | 70 | 67 | 65 | 71 | 73 | 67 | 67 | 60 | 67 | 67 | 75 | 69 | 22 |
★★★
Fastned are banking on climbing KM as Olivier comes in as one of the best climbers in the race. Vanhoucke could also stay in good GC position if he takes some time in the prologue. Cras will also be a strong rider in the mountains while others are here for experience.
| | | | | | | | | |  Genii Hyundai N Cycling | PCT |
| Barta | 69 | 76 | 72 | 73 | 71 | 74 | 70 | 72 | 67 | 65 | 56 | 75 | 27 | | Louvel | 73 | 64 | 70 | 69 | 70 | 74 | 68 | 67 | 66 | 66 | 65 | 69 | 24 | | Jarc | 69 | 63 | 66 | 63 | 67 | 68 | 68 | 67 | 69 | 72 | 68 | 63 | 24 | | Nsengimana | 65 | 74 | 72 | 74 | 72 | 71 | 74 | 66 | 72 | 74 | 66 | 76 | 31 | | Bechkov | 67 | 66 | 64 | 69 | 66 | 66 | 65 | 63 | 60 | 70 | 66 | 68 | 24 | | Sicard | 69 | 78 | 74 | 72 | 74 | 73 | 76 | 60 | 64 | 73 | 61 | 72 | 35 | | Penasa | 70 | 80 | 74 | 70 | 75 | 72 | 77 | 57 | 76 | 68 | 64 | 70 | 32 | | Seboka | 61 | 80 | 62 | 53 | 63 | 70 | 73 | 52 | 67 | 75 | 84 | 53 | 29 |
★★★
Penasa will lead the group of strong climbers, but they’re missing some specialty on the hills. Barta and Nsengimana will likely lose time on the more selective stages but a strong prologue could earn some team priority. Seboka may try a descent attack to show his skill.
| | | | | | | | | |  Indosat Ooredoo | PCT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Nur Hasan | 74 | 60 | 64 | 59 | 74 | 74 | 78 | 79 | 78 | 73 | 66 | 61 | 25 | | Bilbao | 70 | 66 | 78 | 64 | 76 | 70 | 69 | 70 | 74 | 66 | 65 | 60 | 33 | | Cahyadi | 70 | 70 | 75 | 66 | 70 | 71 | 70 | 68 | 69 | 66 | 70 | 66 | 30 | | Yates | 71 | 80 | 76 | 71 | 79 | 80 | 76 | 67 | 76 | 71 | 71 | 71 | 31 | | Arif Prayogo | 73 | 63 | 68 | 76 | 73 | 75 | 70 | 64 | 64 | 74 | 64 | 78 | 31 | | Rohendi | 70 | 75 | 75 | 70 | 73 | 75 | 74 | 62 | 73 | 71 | 70 | 71 | 27 | | Arifin | 66 | 76 | 74 | 66 | 67 | 71 | 73 | 58 | 72 | 82 | 63 | 66 | 28 | | Kolar | 65 | 77 | 75 | 61 | 70 | 71 | 71 | 54 | 66 | 72 | 60 | 61 | 31 |
★★★★
One of the stronger full teams here, Indosat Ooredoo has options no matter which way the race goes. Yates is the most likely to hold leadership although Bilbao could also take over depending on the scenario. Kolar, Arifin, and Rohendi are a supporting cast almost everyone is jealous of. Arif Prayogo is here for a stellar prologue.
| | | | | | | | | |  Jura GIANTS | PCT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Page | 75 | 57 | 66 | 60 | 72 | 72 | 75 | 78 | 79 | 62 | 55 | 59 | 30 | | Page | 66 | 65 | 66 | 61 | 68 | 68 | 62 | 69 | 72 | 68 | 69 | 66 | 22 | | Bakke Christophersen | 66 | 66 | 68 | 63 | 68 | 72 | 65 | 66 | 68 | 70 | 64 | 67 | 22 | | Errazkin | 71 | 74 | 78 | 70 | 76 | 75 | 76 | 63 | 73 | 69 | 67 | 70 | 27 | | Masnada | 71 | 77 | 76 | 73 | 76 | 75 | 73 | 63 | 73 | 69 | 71 | 70 | 30 | | Davies | 64 | 68 | 66 | 69 | 67 | 68 | 68 | 61 | 68 | 63 | 65 | 69 | 28 | | Raugala | 69 | 65 | 65 | 68 | 66 | 68 | 63 | 58 | 64 | 64 | 71 | 69 | 22 | | Marchewka | 65 | 64 | 60 | 77 | 73 | 75 | 74 | 52 | 64 | 62 | 65 | 77 | 30 |
★★★
Errazkin and Masnada lead this team basically alone. We’ll see who decides to work for the other and hope the focus can stay on Poland as they see their teammates succeeding in the Giro. Marchewka can make a difference in the prologue.
| | | | | | | | | |  Lampre - Pinarello | PCT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Meurisse | 73 | 74 | 77 | 67 | 74 | 74 | 74 | 71 | 78 | 72 | 68 | 68 | 31 | | Kooij | 70 | 63 | 65 | 67 | 73 | 68 | 65 | 71 | 73 | 64 | 66 | 70 | 22 | | Turgis | 73 | 67 | 79 | 66 | 76 | 78 | 70 | 70 | 77 | 83 | 67 | 68 | 29 | | Medvedev | 72 | 60 | 63 | 69 | 75 | 74 | 72 | 68 | 66 | 76 | 65 | 69 | 28 | | Baroncini | 72 | 64 | 71 | 71 | 71 | 75 | 70 | 66 | 70 | 72 | 69 | 69 | 23 | | Camrda | 68 | 66 | 67 | 64 | 69 | 70 | 68 | 66 | 71 | 70 | 68 | 66 | 22 | | Antonelli | 68 | 71 | 70 | 63 | 67 | 70 | 69 | 65 | 72 | 71 | 75 | 64 | 24 | | Potocki | 68 | 77 | 72 | 70 | 74 | 71 | 75 | 62 | 64 | 66 | 69 | 70 | 30 |
★★★★
Turgis and Meurisse are a stellar 1-2 punch for Lampre – Pinarello. They’ll likely lose some time in the opening stage, but their teamwork should provide some opportunities for success. Don’t be surprised to see Turgis attacking for a stage win.
| | | | | | | | | |  Los Pollos Hermanos | PCT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Zepuntke | 72 | 56 | 69 | 65 | 79 | 72 | 64 | 72 | 65 | 66 | 68 | 65 | 30 | | Ulloa | 72 | 66 | 70 | 63 | 73 | 72 | 71 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 64 | 64 | 27 | | Higuita | 69 | 78 | 79 | 65 | 76 | 78 | 79 | 66 | 75 | 73 | 64 | 62 | 26 | | Galvan Ramirez | 71 | 72 | 69 | 71 | 69 | 71 | 70 | 64 | 66 | 69 | 69 | 72 | 23 | | Beltran | 68 | 74 | 74 | 64 | 69 | 71 | 69 | 62 | 67 | 68 | 69 | 62 | 24 | | Pira | 62 | 76 | 68 | 62 | 64 | 67 | 70 | 60 | 67 | 66 | 61 | 61 | 24 | | Lopez Nolasco | 65 | 77 | 70 | 71 | 71 | 70 | 73 | 59 | 70 | 74 | 68 | 69 | 26 | | Osorio | 69 | 77 | 72 | 72 | 73 | 72 | 74 | 56 | 68 | 62 | 64 | 68 | 25 |
★★★
Sergio Higuita is well positioned for all the road stages when the slope goes up. Lopez Nolasco and Osorio are the primary domestiques. Still Higuita will carry most hopes on his own.
| | | | | | | | | |  McCormick Pro Cycling | PCT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Boivin | 72 | 56 | 68 | 60 | 71 | 67 | 74 | 77 | 77 | 71 | 65 | 64 | 34 | | Matsuda | 74 | 65 | 70 | 75 | 69 | 74 | 65 | 71 | 71 | 60 | 64 | 77 | 24 | | Simmons | 69 | 67 | 68 | 60 | 68 | 71 | 72 | 66 | 71 | 68 | 69 | 60 | 22 | | Boswell | 70 | 71 | 80 | 67 | 77 | 73 | 71 | 65 | 76 | 72 | 68 | 69 | 32 | | Hoehn | 67 | 75 | 72 | 70 | 71 | 74 | 75 | 64 | 61 | 78 | 68 | 70 | 26 | | Seigle | 68 | 72 | 77 | 64 | 73 | 73 | 69 | 63 | 72 | 70 | 69 | 67 | 29 | | Revard | 69 | 76 | 70 | 70 | 69 | 74 | 74 | 58 | 70 | 67 | 63 | 69 | 26 | | Kuss | 68 | 78 | 71 | 64 | 74 | 76 | 71 | 55 | 69 | 66 | 72 | 65 | 29 |
★★★★
Another one of the strong teams across the board, Boswell should end up getting the leadership role, but may struggle is the climbing is hard from the beginning of some stages. Boivin will be around for the flat stages while Matsuda could threaten on stage 1.
| | | | | | | | | |  Sauber Petronas Racing | PCT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Hirschi | 71 | 75 | 77 | 66 | 77 | 77 | 75 | 66 | 73 | 80 | 76 | 66 | 25 | | Van Garderen | 69 | 68 | 78 | 65 | 72 | 69 | 63 | 66 | 73 | 76 | 71 | 65 | 35 | | Azman | 69 | 76 | 77 | 63 | 69 | 72 | 73 | 65 | 75 | 76 | 69 | 64 | 29 | | Pellaud | 70 | 65 | 77 | 66 | 74 | 68 | 71 | 65 | 70 | 71 | 67 | 66 | 31 | | Dulanjana | 67 | 74 | 72 | 74 | 75 | 71 | 77 | 62 | 61 | 60 | 75 | 75 | 28 | | Forcellini | 66 | 69 | 73 | 66 | 68 | 63 | 68 | 60 | 70 | 57 | 56 | 58 | 33 | | Putti | 69 | 70 | 74 | 62 | 74 | 71 | 72 | 59 | 67 | 80 | 70 | 62 | 27 | | Liphongyu | 68 | 75 | 72 | 74 | 73 | 72 | 74 | 58 | 63 | 68 | 63 | 73 | 32 |
★★★★
Sauber comes ready for the punchy stages and has many options depending on who feels best. Hirschi may be the best option on the longer stages while Azman is another great option. Van Garderen may also ask for an opportunity or two.
| | | | | | | | | |  SEE Turtles | CT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Trillini | 70 | 64 | 75 | 65 | 75 | 69 | 73 | 73 | 76 | 70 | 67 | 73 | 32 | | Ganjkhanlou | 69 | 61 | 64 | 62 | 69 | 67 | 67 | 73 | 75 | 55 | 73 | 70 | 26 | | Duchesne | 70 | 67 | 77 | 68 | 73 | 72 | 67 | 69 | 79 | 71 | 51 | 68 | 32 | | Vermaerke | 69 | 67 | 70 | 68 | 72 | 72 | 66 | 65 | 67 | 63 | 64 | 66 | 23 | | Huera | 67 | 66 | 67 | 61 | 68 | 68 | 65 | 64 | 66 | 68 | 65 | 62 | 24 | | Lopez | 62 | 67 | 66 | 63 | 64 | 66 | 63 | 62 | 63 | 60 | 62 | 61 | 23 | | Cepeda | 67 | 69 | 67 | 62 | 68 | 67 | 64 | 60 | 67 | 61 | 59 | 61 | 25 | | Obando | 62 | 67 | 67 | 65 | 63 | 67 | 68 | 60 | 62 | 74 | 64 | 66 | 22 |
★
The Turtles have opted to get their younger riders experience here in Poland, so there’s not too much hope for the Ecuadorians. Trillini may fight on stage 5 and we’ll see how Duchesne plays things.
| | | | | | | | | |  Sony – Force India | PCT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Benoot | 71 | 75 | 81 | 63 | 75 | 74 | 74 | 69 | 71 | 62 | 66 | 62 | 29 | | Alben | 70 | 58 | 63 | 62 | 70 | 61 | 59 | 68 | 72 | 62 | 64 | 66 | 22 | | Jungels | 72 | 64 | 68 | 78 | 74 | 75 | 69 | 63 | 63 | 72 | 70 | 78 | 31 | | Shirota | 68 | 75 | 75 | 58 | 69 | 68 | 73 | 63 | 78 | 73 | 58 | 58 | 29 | | Goh | 68 | 73 | 75 | 69 | 72 | 72 | 71 | 61 | 66 | 78 | 64 | 68 | 33 | | Tratnik | 70 | 72 | 76 | 61 | 73 | 74 | 68 | 60 | 69 | 70 | 64 | 61 | 33 | | Ahmad Zamri | 70 | 75 | 70 | 75 | 72 | 74 | 75 | 59 | 69 | 71 | 59 | 75 | 31 | | Ocampo | 69 | 59 | 64 | 76 | 72 | 71 | 73 | 58 | 63 | 58 | 66 | 76 | 24 |
★★★★
Benoot is a top 3 favorite assuming he can make up any lost time from the prologue. He’s got strong support from Shirota, Goh, and Ahmad Zamri. Jungels will try for a top result in the prologue.
| | | | | | | | | |  Spark – BNZ Racing | PCT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Howard | 74 | 61 | 66 | 66 | 72 | 67 | 74 | 80 | 76 | 62 | 63 | 66 | 34 | | Baterdene | 74 | 58 | 61 | 59 | 72 | 70 | 83 | 76 | 77 | 59 | 66 | 64 | 28 | | Kopfauf | 69 | 62 | 67 | 65 | 67 | 74 | 67 | 74 | 73 | 70 | 68 | 81 | 27 | | McCormick | 70 | 66 | 76 | 65 | 74 | 71 | 70 | 73 | 73 | 67 | 59 | 65 | 29 | | Muhindo | 74 | 58 | 67 | 65 | 74 | 71 | 68 | 68 | 64 | 76 | 65 | 65 | 27 | | Bobridge | 71 | 67 | 81 | 75 | 71 | 71 | 66 | 67 | 77 | 64 | 64 | 75 | 34 | | Marryatt | 71 | 61 | 68 | 77 | 67 | 74 | 67 | 60 | 58 | 67 | 63 | 77 | 27 | | Schleck | 64 | 77 | 73 | 53 | 71 | 71 | 78 | 52 | 73 | 61 | 61 | 61 | 27 |
★★★★★
Spark-BNZ Racing has one of the most interesting teams. Kopfauf will be the favorite for the first leader’s jersey. Howard will fight for the sprint stages while Bobridge is an outside favorite on the hills, especially on the shorter punches. This team just seems prepped for success.
| | | | | | | | | |  Tafjord Kraft | CT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Ludvigsson | 67 | 63 | 76 | 69 | 74 | 70 | 69 | 67 | 76 | 78 | 68 | 69 | 29 | | Dyrnes | 68 | 72 | 78 | 61 | 73 | 73 | 70 | 65 | 77 | 78 | 74 | 66 | 31 | | Eriksson | 72 | 67 | 78 | 61 | 78 | 74 | 75 | 65 | 76 | 75 | 71 | 61 | 27 | | Kulppi | 73 | 59 | 67 | 61 | 73 | 69 | 69 | 65 | 70 | 63 | 70 | 60 | 32 | | Asgreen | 67 | 66 | 77 | 68 | 70 | 69 | 67 | 64 | 74 | 75 | 66 | 68 | 28 | | Bardet | 65 | 76 | 73 | 58 | 70 | 68 | 69 | 51 | 73 | 66 | 70 | 58 | 33 |
★★★
While they only bring 6, Tafjord definitely came prepared. Dyrnes and Eriksson should share leadership and overall they should stage-hunt while managing to protect some GC spots.
 Team Popo4ever p/b Morshynska
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Aniolkowski | 76 | 62 | 65 | 56 | 76 | 74 | 79 | 80 | 79 | 57 | 64 | 59 | 26 | | Golovash | 72 | 60 | 60 | 78 | 72 | 69 | 66 | 73 | 76 | 61 | 65 | 78 | 32 | | Prevar | 71 | 70 | 79 | 61 | 75 | 68 | 66 | 66 | 71 | 62 | 65 | 61 | 33 | | Beltran | 68 | 78 | 80 | 65 | 71 | 70 | 70 | 65 | 74 | 77 | 73 | 65 | 33 | | Zumer | 68 | 70 | 68 | 56 | 68 | 74 | 62 | 65 | 76 | 72 | 80 | 57 | 26 | | Bratashcuk | 69 | 71 | 77 | 58 | 75 | 70 | 69 | 62 | 67 | 65 | 79 | 58 | 31 | | Parashchak | 69 | 67 | 72 | 57 | 68 | 69 | 70 | 59 | 70 | 71 | 66 | 57 | 23 | | Budyak | 68 | 74 | 78 | 68 | 72 | 67 | 73 | 57 | 68 | 63 | 74 | 68 | 28 |
★★★★★
Beltran is back for a final success and will be tough for anyone to beat outside Areruya. Prevar will support alongside Budyak. Aniolkowski will lead the squad on the sprint stages so there’s lots of opportunities for success.
| | | | | | | | | |  Team UBS - Tissot | PCT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Van Asbroeck | 74 | 52 | 70 | 65 | 74 | 71 | 77 | 79 | 77 | 73 | 67 | 73 | 33 | | Müller | 70 | 67 | 80 | 63 | 76 | 71 | 70 | 66 | 73 | 75 | 63 | 63 | 27 | | Buchmann | 71 | 76 | 81 | 67 | 73 | 74 | 74 | 65 | 73 | 67 | 70 | 67 | 31 | | Brun | 67 | 67 | 71 | 59 | 71 | 69 | 68 | 63 | 70 | 67 | 61 | 58 | 23 | | Blum | 69 | 60 | 67 | 72 | 68 | 70 | 69 | 63 | 66 | 63 | 71 | 71 | 22 | | Badilatti | 67 | 76 | 75 | 65 | 67 | 72 | 71 | 60 | 65 | 73 | 62 | 65 | 31 | | Stöckli | 64 | 72 | 71 | 60 | 69 | 68 | 70 | 59 | 67 | 66 | 70 | 58 | 23 | | Haugard | 72 | 57 | 60 | 79 | 74 | 77 | 70 | 57 | 67 | 73 | 65 | 79 | 31 |
★★★★
Buchmann is another Top 5 contender while Muller as a back-up leader. Buchmann may even be able to sit in the pack while Muller tries to attack. Van Asbroeck also has a shot at both sprint stages and will make sure the team works hard each day. Haugard will carry the prologue chances.
| | | | | | | | | |  Team Würth MODYF | CT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Willwohl | 73 | 53 | 65 | 56 | 71 | 67 | 78 | 79 | 78 | 61 | 64 | 56 | 29 | | Magnussen | 73 | 58 | 69 | 72 | 66 | 72 | 64 | 67 | 70 | 74 | 70 | 76 | 31 | | Dumoulin | 70 | 58 | 67 | 77 | 74 | 75 | 68 | 64 | 66 | 65 | 59 | 77 | 33 | | Goossens | 71 | 71 | 72 | 66 | 70 | 74 | 70 | 63 | 69 | 71 | 72 | 66 | 27 | | Schelling | 72 | 77 | 72 | 70 | 76 | 74 | 72 | 62 | 67 | 72 | 67 | 72 | 25 | | Vangheluwe | 71 | 60 | 61 | 66 | 68 | 71 | 67 | 61 | 69 | 73 | 66 | 66 | 22 | | Lipowitz | 62 | 71 | 71 | 59 | 63 | 72 | 71 | 59 | 70 | 73 | 63 | 58 | 23 | | Predatsch | 69 | 53 | 55 | 77 | 73 | 77 | 69 | 54 | 65 | 71 | 65 | 77 | 31 |
★★
Willwohl is the top CT sprinter in Pologne and there’s certainly good chances for him to grab the victory. Magnussen, Dumoulin, and Predatsch will all hope for good prologue results, but a strong GC placement would be a surprise for this group.
| | | | | | | | | |  Trans Looney Tunes | PCT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Korosec | 71 | 68 | 75 | 68 | 74 | 71 | 71 | 75 | 78 | 70 | 69 | 71 | 30 | | Calmejane | 74 | 71 | 77 | 67 | 73 | 76 | 74 | 72 | 76 | 78 | 70 | 70 | 31 | | Stimulak | 72 | 58 | 65 | 76 | 69 | 70 | 67 | 71 | 72 | 64 | 60 | 65 | 33 | | Bystrom | 72 | 68 | 79 | 61 | 75 | 72 | 67 | 68 | 76 | 78 | 73 | 61 | 31 | | Senyenov | 70 | 62 | 77 | 63 | 68 | 73 | 65 | 68 | 73 | 72 | 73 | 63 | 30 | | Pibernik | 72 | 65 | 76 | 60 | 76 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 74 | 72 | 67 | 62 | 30 | | Jang | 66 | 75 | 75 | 61 | 70 | 68 | 68 | 65 | 72 | 72 | 55 | 61 | 33 | | Piaskowy | 69 | 72 | 72 | 72 | 73 | 70 | 74 | 54 | 68 | 67 | 62 | 72 | 32 |
★★★
Trans Looney Tunes knows how to put a punchy team together. Bystrom is the likely leader with Calmejane as the next most likely. Korosec is strong enough to cause a surprise on the flat stages but should be a top favorite on stage 5.
| | | | | | | | | |  Tryg - Gobik | PCT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age | | Rodenberg | 74 | 60 | 64 | 64 | 70 | 77 | 73 | 79 | 79 | 63 | 64 | 74 | 25 | | Kump | 70 | 62 | 73 | 59 | 70 | 67 | 71 | 77 | 74 | 66 | 69 | 66 | 35 | | Pedrero | 67 | 76 | 73 | 65 | 73 | 68 | 71 | 70 | 71 | 76 | 70 | 65 | 32 | | Hoelgaard | 72 | 74 | 77 | 65 | 72 | 72 | 72 | 68 | 74 | 73 | 69 | 65 | 30 | | Blume Levy | 68 | 60 | 60 | 61 | 68 | 64 | 66 | 68 | 69 | 68 | 64 | 62 | 22 | | Kron | 73 | 70 | 79 | 66 | 75 | 75 | 71 | 66 | 73 | 75 | 71 | 65 | 25 | | Schlegel | 69 | 79 | 77 | 65 | 71 | 74 | 76 | 64 | 75 | 73 | 66 | 64 | 28 | | Seibeb | 71 | 75 | 76 | 66 | 70 | 69 | 71 | 61 | 73 | 80 | 59 | 66 | 31 |
★★★★
Rodenberg is another sprint favorite who will also lead the team in the prologue. More importantly, Kron and Schlegel should share leadership across the hills and adjust as other favorites define their strategies. Expect a strong result, but be surprised if they end up on the top of the podium in the final stages.
| | | | | | | | | | | Xero Racing | PCT |
| Name | FL | MO | HI | TT | ST | RS | RC | SP | AC | FG | DH | PR | Age |  Areruya | 72 | 81 | 81 | 65 | 76 | 78 | 79 | 68 | 76 | 75 | 60 | 65 | 27 | | Strong | 67 | 71 | 70 | 58 | 65 | 74 | 70 | 67 | 73 | 63 | 66 | 58 | 23 | | Van Wilder | 66 | 72 | 70 | 71 | 66 | 70 | 67 | 67 | 68 | 64 | 66 | 70 | 23 | | Boileau | 66 | 72 | 72 | 64 | 66 | 69 | 71 | 66 | 72 | 64 | 66 | 63 | 24 | | Lazkano | 64 | 66 | 72 | 59 | 66 | 69 | 66 | 64 | 71 | 74 | 61 | 59 | 24 | | Kipkemboi | 67 | 75 | 77 | 57 | 68 | 73 | 73 | 63 | 76 | 73 | 68 | 59 | 25 | | Duyvesteyn | 67 | 67 | 72 | 64 | 65 | 69 | 66 | 63 | 72 | 71 | 66 | 64 | 25 | | Van Zyl | 74 | 71 | 74 | 73 | 74 | 74 | 72 | 62 | 66 | 73 | 60 | 73 | 32 |
★★★★★
Last, but certainly not least! Defending Champion Areruya is the strongest rider her and ready to defend his crown. It’s a young team in support with Kipkemboi the strongest help in the mountains. We’ll see what Areruya can do to cement his Pologne legacy.
Edited by seancoll on 28-12-2023 19:05
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| Eden95 |
Posted on 28-12-2023 04:27
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4615
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Awesome preview!
Very good team we’ve sent here alongside Yates for his first race with us. Riders for all stages, and hopeful of a top-5 GC. The hybrids should rule here but who knows? This season has shown that sprint gets Dan be hard to drop so maybe they hang on until the last stage and cause havoc? Regardless, Areruya’s race to lose here with Buchmann and Benoot hanging off his coattails I reckon.
Thanks again for the preview!
Indosat - ANZ HQ
"This Schleck sandwich is going to cause serious indigestion for Evans" - Phil Liggett |
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| Imladrik |
Posted on 28-12-2023 07:52
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Protected Rider
Posts: 1114
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Thanks for the preview and for taking this seancoll!
We're here for the breaks - with more success than in Guadeloupe and Pais Vasco, I hope -, fighting for KoM and stage glory
Also to give our youngsters experience at a higher level.
Good luck everyone!
“...the secret of the Great Stories is that they have no secrets. The Great Stories are the ones you have heard and want to hear again. The ones you can enter anywhere and inhabit comfortably."
A. Roy
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| AbhishekLFC |
Posted on 28-12-2023 08:00
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Directeur Sportif
Posts: 12681
Joined: 27-07-2015
PCM$: 1961.50
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Benoot really needs to step up after the failures in Strade and South Africa. The support team is decent hopefully helping our leader along the way.
Thanks for the preview seancoll 
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| Sykkel_Freak |
Posted on 28-12-2023 10:34
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2129
Joined: 11-07-2010
PCM$: 200.00
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We bring a pretty strong team here, hopefully at least one of Faglum Karlsson/Gesbert/Chaves can get a good GC result. Also a rare chance for Gibbons to ride for his own chances in the sprints.
Thanks for the preview!
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| Ulrich Ulriksen |
Posted on 28-12-2023 11:10
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Directeur Sportif
Posts: 3917
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Thanks to Sean for taking this on. Not sure there is much hope for Boswell as the hybrids will rule. Thought I had sent Narvaez fir the punchy stages and not Boswell. Think that would have been a better strategy. Maybe I will be surprised.
Man Game: McCormick Pro Cycling |
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| whitejersey |
Posted on 28-12-2023 14:53
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 3221
Joined: 07-08-2011
PCM$: 300.00
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Thanks a lot for picking this up Sean!
Really excited to get back to racing after not having raced for like 3 weeks at this point. This is a goal race for us with a top 5 as the target but that was set with the goal of acquiring and trainig Higuita in the market, which didnt go to plan!
There is only one rider that can win this race but the fight for the remaining top 5 spots will be super interesting with the strong UBS team, Benoot, a trained Gesbert and many more in the mix!
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| quadsas |
Posted on 28-12-2023 16:00
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Small Tour Specialist
Posts: 2728
Joined: 18-01-2013
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Should be a 1000 point race for us, letsago
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| cunego59 |
Posted on 28-12-2023 17:11
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Team Manager
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I think we have a good chance at a podium and that should be the goal for Meintjes. Areruya is obviously the favorite (although I did almost miss him, there seems to be a slight error in the Xero lineup in the preview  ), and there are enough strong riders here that Meintjes could finish ~6th and it would be acceptable, but I'm hoping for more, obviously. Tesfatsion is a Top 5 U25 rider here, so some points there would be nice, though there's always some luck involved in how that classification plays out.
Good luck everyone, and thanks for taking care of the race, sean!
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| seancoll |
Posted on 28-12-2023 19:06
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cunego59 wrote:
(although I did almost miss him, there seems to be a slight error in the Xero lineup in the preview )
Just keeping everyone on their toes. Assa Abloy really wanted to field two teams!
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| kandesbunzler26 |
Posted on 28-12-2023 19:31
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Sprinter
Posts: 1809
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I hope to see my loan-outs Louvel and Boileau in the break. Apart from that, I'll follow the race as an interested bystander.
Thanks to sean for the preview and the reports! Also the idea to test everyone's attention should be further explored in the future
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| Fabianski |
Posted on 28-12-2023 21:45
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 5234
Joined: 29-09-2018
PCM$: 185.00
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Not sure at all what to expect. Would definitely not have picked the race deliberately, but we have to do it. Errazkin and Masnada have both done well on stages that favor hybrids so far, so the last two days should suit them compared to the pure puncheurs. Page will make his debut as our lead sprinter, and as far as I see the competition isn't huge and therefore pretty open for the two flat stages.
For the overall, there should be no way past Areruya, but the race behind should be pretty interesting.
Thanks for the preview and the reports, sean!
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| jandal7 |
Posted on 29-12-2023 10:51
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World Champion
Posts: 11621
Joined: 17-12-2014
PCM$: 1120.00
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seancoll wrote:
cunego59 wrote:
(although I did almost miss him, there seems to be a slight error in the Xero lineup in the preview )
Just keeping everyone on their toes. Assa Abloy really wanted to field two teams!
The conspiracy to stop Areruya winning already started before a rider left the prologue start 
Speaking of hope everyone enjoys their time gaps. Hopefully Areruya is on the form he should be and can make this a big race for us like last year.
24/02/21 - kandesbunzler said “I don't drink famous people."
15/08/22 - SotD said "Your [jandal's] humour is overrated"
11/06/24 - knockout said "Winning is fine I guess. Truth be told this felt completely unimportant."
[PT]  Xero Racing
5x  x5
1x  x1
2x  x2
2x  x2 |
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| Jakstar22 |
Posted on 29-12-2023 11:26
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Grand Tour Champion
Posts: 7541
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Let’s hope the team lives up to the preview aha. Keen for this race. We have a strong team here and keen to get going!
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| AbhishekLFC |
Posted on 29-12-2023 14:51
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Directeur Sportif
Posts: 12681
Joined: 27-07-2015
PCM$: 1961.50
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Good results from Jungels and Ocampo. Not so much from Benoot but that was always known. Hopefully this does not mean that a 15 second extra deficit knocks off about 100 hill points from his stats 
Congrats to UBS and thanks for the report
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| whitejersey |
Posted on 29-12-2023 20:10
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 3221
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Could be worse, could have been better, thanks for the report!
Congrats UBS on the win!
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| Fabianski |
Posted on 29-12-2023 23:30
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 5234
Joined: 29-09-2018
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Great to see Marchewka getting a Top 10 (and a point) in his home race!
Decent racing by Masnada and Errazkin, now it's all about staying with the top puncheurs, and maybe get some stage results (especially Masnada has shown time and time again that he can defy the stronger puncheurs - with the previous game version ^^).
Congrats to UBS, great to see you getting a really strong result for once
Thanks for the report to sean, of course!
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| Eden95 |
Posted on 30-12-2023 03:41
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Grand Tour Specialist
Posts: 4615
Joined: 05-10-2010
PCM$: 1000.00
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Good first stage! DAP did really well and was close to the top, and Yates did remarkably well to limit his losses. Couldn’t ask for much more
Congrats Bushwackers on the win, and thanks for the report!
Indosat - ANZ HQ
"This Schleck sandwich is going to cause serious indigestion for Evans" - Phil Liggett |
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| whitejersey |
Posted on 30-12-2023 07:50
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Classics Specialist
Posts: 3221
Joined: 07-08-2011
PCM$: 300.00
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Sick, the race is over before it even began. How the fuck there's a 36 ridder main group and neither Turgis or Meurisse make it is criminal.
Thanks for the report and congrats to the teams that get to follow these next 5 stages with some excitement.
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| jandal7 |
Posted on 30-12-2023 09:43
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World Champion
Posts: 11621
Joined: 17-12-2014
PCM$: 1120.00
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Still 5 stages and 17 seconds to go and with how close 76MO Lucas Hamilton got last year I'm not counting any chickens. But a very promising start, Areruya with some awful positioning and still very very strong to take the win from four rows back.
Spoiler On current evidence he may be unbeatable in road stages after this latest training?  2/2
24/02/21 - kandesbunzler said “I don't drink famous people."
15/08/22 - SotD said "Your [jandal's] humour is overrated"
11/06/24 - knockout said "Winning is fine I guess. Truth be told this felt completely unimportant."
[PT] Xero Racing
5x x5
1x x1
2x x2
2x x2 |
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