PCM.daily - Discussion Forum: [CT] Predictions vs Final Results

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PCM.daily » PCM.daily's Management Game » [Cont-Man-Game] General

[CT] Predictions vs Final Results

matt17br

Posted on 12-04-2017 15:06

Directeur Sportif

Posts: 10519
Joined: 28-09-2013
PCM$: 200.00

Here's first of all a look at the Final Results compared to the Average Predicted Results (APR), along with the Highest (HPP) and Lowest Predicted Position (LPP).

Final	Team	APR	Diff	HPP	LPP
1	Ferrero - Samruk	4	3	3	11
2	Podium Ambition	2	0	1	4
3	Kraftwerk Man Machine	1	-2	1	3
4	Chiquita - Universal	7	3	3	11
5	Carlsberg - Danske Bank	3	-2	1	9
6	MOL-OMW Petrom	8	2	1	14
7	Isostar - Adriatic	6	-1	4	16
8	Team Ticos Air Costa Rica	13	5	12	15
9	La Poste p/b Mavic	5	-4	4	15
10	Sauber Petronas Racing	12	2	9	16
11	Xero Racing p/b Octagon	9	-2	7	10
12	cycleYorkshire s/b ASDA-Savers	11	-1	7	18
13	New Balance	10	-3	5	11
14	World Cycling Centre	16	2	11	19
15	The Spark Project p/b BollÃ©	15	0	7	18
16	KAYAK-Clas Ohlson	21	5	16	24
17	TVM - Beslist.nl	22	5	12	24
18	Schuh powered by Wiggle	20	2	15	23
19	Elta-Hellenic Post	14	-5	12	15
20	LÃ¶bauer Stadtwerke - Etixx	17	-3	16	21
21	Fox Sports - BikeNZ Cycling	18	-3	15	21
22	Eddie Stobart	24	2	21	24
23	Hankook - Ping An Bank	19	-4	14	23
24	Vivacom - DataMap	23	-1	19	24

Below, however, you can find a perhaps more interesting look at how off every prediction was with regard to each team.

The Rider

Total Score: 228/300; 72 Positions Off; 76% Accuracy

Spoiler

Pred	Team	Final	Difference
1	Kraftwerk Man Machine	3	2
2	Carlsberg - Danske Bank	5	3
3	Ferrero - Samruk	1	2
4	Podium Ambition	2	2
5	La Poste p/b Mavic	9	4
6	Isostar - Adriatic	7	1
7	Chiquita - Universal	4	3
8	Xero Racing p/b Octagon	11	3
9	MOL-OMW Petrom	6	3
10	New Balance	13	3
11	cycleYorkshire s/b ASDA-Savers	12	1
12	Team Ticos Air Costa Rica	8	4
13	Sauber Petronas Racing	10	3
14	Elta-Hellenic Post	19	5
15	Fox Sports - BikeNZ Cycling	21	6
16	KAYAK-Clas Ohlson	16	0
17	Hankook - Ping An Bank	23	6
18	The Spark Project p/b BollÃ©	15	3
19	World Cycling Centre	14	5
20	LÃ¶bauer Stadtwerke - Etixx	20	0
21	Schuh powered by Wiggle	18	3
22	Vivacom - DataMap	24	2
23	TVM - Beslist.nl	17	6
24	Eddie Stobart	22	2

Croatia14

Total Score: 224/300; 76 Positions Off; 75% Accuracy

Spoiler

Pred	Team	Final	Difference
1	Podium Ambition	2	1
2	Kraftwerk Man Machine	3	1
3	Carlsberg - Danske Bank	5	2
4	Ferrero - Samruk	1	3
5	New Balance	13	8
6	La Poste p/b Mavic	9	3
7	cycleYorkshire s/b ASDA-Savers	12	5
8	MOL-OMW Petrom	6	2
9	Xero Racing p/b Octagon	11	2
10	Chiquita - Universal	4	6
11	Sauber Petronas Racing	10	1
12	TVM - Beslist.nl	17	5
13	Team Ticos Air Costa Rica	8	5
14	The Spark Project p/b BollÃ©	15	1
15	Elta-Hellenic Post	19	4
16	Isostar - Adriatic	7	9
17	LÃ¶bauer Stadtwerke - Etixx	20	3
18	Schuh powered by Wiggle	18	0
19	World Cycling Centre	14	5
20	Hankook - Ping An Bank	23	3
21	Fox Sports - BikeNZ Cycling	21	0
22	KAYAK-Clas Ohlson	16	6
23	Eddie Stobart	22	1
24	Vivacom - DataMap	24	0

matt17br

Total Score: 236/300; 64 Positions Off; 79% Accuracy

Spoiler

Pred	Team	Final	Difference
1	Carlsberg - Danske Bank	5	4
2	Kraftwerk Man Machine	3	1
3	Podium Ambition	2	1
4	La Poste p/b Mavic	9	5
5	Isostar - Adriatic	7	2
6	Ferrero - Samruk	1	5
7	Chiquita - Universal	4	3
8	Xero Racing p/b Octagon	11	3
9	MOL-OMW Petrom	6	3
10	Sauber Petronas Racing	10	0
11	New Balance	13	2
12	Team Ticos Air Costa Rica	8	4
13	cycleYorkshire s/b ASDA-Savers	12	1
14	Elta-Hellenic Post	19	5
15	Schuh powered by Wiggle	18	3
16	The Spark Project p/b BollÃ©	15	1
17	LÃ¶bauer Stadtwerke - Etixx	20	3
18	Fox Sports - BikeNZ Cycling	21	3
19	World Cycling Centre	14	5
20	KAYAK-Clas Ohlson	16	4
21	TVM - Beslist.nl	17	4
22	Hankook - Ping An Bank	23	1
23	Eddie Stobart	22	1
24	Vivacom - DataMap	24	0

jph27

Final Score: 220/300; 80 Positions Off; 73% Accuracy

Spoiler

Pred	Team	Final	Difference
1	MOL-OMW Petrom	6	5
2	Podium Ambition	2	0
3	Kraftwerk Man Machine	3	0
4	Isostar - Adriatic	7	3
5	Ferrero - Samruk	1	4
6	La Poste p/b Mavic	9	3
7	cycleYorkshire s/b ASDA-Savers	12	5
8	New Balance	13	5
9	Carlsberg - Danske Bank	5	4
10	Xero Racing p/b Octagon	11	1
11	Chiquita - Universal	4	7
12	Elta-Hellenic Post	19	7
13	Sauber Petronas Racing	10	3
14	Team Ticos Air Costa Rica	8	6
15	The Spark Project p/b BollÃ©	15	0
16	World Cycling Centre	14	2
17	KAYAK-Clas Ohlson	16	1
18	Hankook - Ping An Bank	23	5
19	Vivacom - DataMap	24	5
20	Fox Sports - BikeNZ Cycling	21	1
21	LÃ¶bauer Stadtwerke - Etixx	20	1
22	Schuh powered by Wiggle	18	4
23	TVM - Beslist.nl	17	6
24	Eddie Stobart	22	2

SportingNonsense

Total Score: 216/300; 84 Positions Off; 72% Accuracy

Spoiler

Pred	Team	Final	Difference
1	Kraftwerk Man Machine	3	2
2	Carlsberg - Danske Bank	5	3
3	Chiquita - Universal	4	1
4	Podium Ambition	2	2
5	Isostar - Adriatic	7	2
6	Ferrero - Samruk	1	5
7	The Spark Project p/b BollÃ©	15	8
8	Xero Racing p/b Octagon	11	3
9	New Balance	13	4
10	cycleYorkshire s/b ASDA-Savers	12	2
11	World Cycling Centre	14	3
12	Team Ticos Air Costa Rica	8	4
13	Elta-Hellenic Post	19	6
14	MOL-OMW Petrom	6	8
15	La Poste p/b Mavic	9	6
16	Sauber Petronas Racing	10	6
17	Fox Sports - BikeNZ Cycling	21	4
18	Schuh powered by Wiggle	18	0
19	LÃ¶bauer Stadtwerke - Etixx	20	1
20	KAYAK-Clas Ohlson	16	4
21	Eddie Stobart	22	1
22	Vivacom - DataMap	24	2
23	Hankook - Ping An Bank	23	0
24	TVM - Beslist.nl	17	7

MARSUPILAMI

Total Score: 212/300; 88 Positions Off; 71% Accuracy

Spoiler

Pred	Team	Final	Difference
1	Kraftwerk Man Machine	3	2
2	Podium Ambition	2	0
3	Carlsberg - Danske Bank	5	2
4	La Poste p/b Mavic	9	5
5	Isostar - Adriatic	7	2
6	MOL-OMW Petrom	6	0
7	Xero Racing p/b Octagon	11	4
8	Chiquita - Universal	4	4
9	Sauber Petronas Racing	10	1
10	New Balance	13	3
11	Ferrero - Samruk	1	10
12	Elta-Hellenic Post	19	7
13	World Cycling Centre	14	1
14	Hankook - Ping An Bank	23	9
15	Team Ticos Air Costa Rica	8	7
16	LÃ¶bauer Stadtwerke - Etixx	20	4
17	The Spark Project p/b BollÃ©	15	2
18	cycleYorkshire s/b ASDA-Savers	12	6
19	TVM - Beslist.nl	17	2
20	Fox Sports - BikeNZ Cycling	21	1
21	Vivacom - DataMap	24	3
22	Eddie Stobart	22	0
23	Schuh powered by Wiggle	18	5
24	KAYAK-Clas Ohlson	16	8

Final Ranking

Spoiler

Rank	Predictor	Score
1.	matt17br	236
2.	The Rider	228
3.	Croatia14	224
4.	jph27	220
5.	SportingNonsense	216
6.	MARSUPILAMI	212

(Former) Manager of Generali

SotD

Posted on 12-04-2017 17:41

World Champion

Posts: 13110
Joined: 29-11-2006
PCM$: 2980.00

Great job. Any chance you can make a similar one for the PT?

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matt17br

Posted on 12-04-2017 18:27

Directeur Sportif

Posts: 10519
Joined: 28-09-2013
PCM$: 200.00

Yes, I'll be posting the other 2 tonight.

(Former) Manager of Generali

jt1109

Posted on 12-04-2017 18:31

Classics Specialist

Posts: 3778
Joined: 23-07-2008
PCM$: 800.00

Too work Matt and fantastic predictions by everyone really with no one being miles off with the teams and most getting within 4-5 on all teams

Shonak

Posted on 13-04-2017 12:48

Tour de France Champion

Posts: 15579
Joined: 16-07-2013
PCM$: 350.00

Overall many close predictions, especially when it comes to the important Top 5 teams. Well done guys, although it's striking that no one predicted Ferrero to be on top. Then again, sometimes they just outscored other teams massively by depth even when not winning, an approach I can fully get behind

Thanks matt here too!

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"Itâ€™s a little bit scary when Contador attacks." - Tommy V

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