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[PT] The Prediction
MARSUPILAMI
Posted on 25-07-2016 11:17
Team Leader
Posts: 5573
Joined: 10-08-2013
PCM$: 300.00
The Prediction by MARSUPILAMI
And here it is, the only The Prediction left, this time for PT division.
Once again, 6 people made public their predictions for this division. And I mean "made public" because as it seems, some other people have sent their thoughts to SotD privately, so I could take those into account because I haven't got that information.
And also, if I made any mistakes, please point them out so they can be fixed!
MARSUPILAMI
Posted on 25-07-2016 11:18
Team Leader
Posts: 5573
Joined: 10-08-2013
PCM$: 300.00
Aegon - Lavazza
Best predicted : 8th
Worst predicted : 18th
Average : 11,50
Position according to averages : 11th
Aker - MOT
Best predicted : 4th
Worst predicted : 6th
Average : 5,00
Position according to averages : 5th
Becherovka - Petrof
Best predicted : 1st
Worst predicted : 5th
Average : 2,17
Position according to averages : 2nd
Bouygues Telecom
Best predicted : 7th
Worst predicted : 18th
Average : 13,50
Position according to averages : 15th
BPost - Vlaanderen
Best predicted : 7th
Worst predicted : 21st
Average : 15,33
Position according to averages : 17th
eBuddy
Best predicted : 9th
Worst predicted : 19th
Average : 12,50
Position according to averages : 14th
MARSUPILAMI
Posted on 25-07-2016 11:18
Team Leader
Posts: 5573
Joined: 10-08-2013
PCM$: 300.00
Evonik - ELKO
Best predicted : 12th
Worst predicted : 17th
Average : 14,83
Position according to averages : 16th
Gazelle
Best predicted : 7th
Worst predicted : 19th
Average : 12,33
Position according to averages : 13th
Grieg - Eftel
Best predicted : 22nd
Worst predicted : 22nd
Average : 22,00
Position according to averages : 22nd
Jayco'z Cycling Project
Best predicted : 6th
Worst predicted : 17th
Average : 11,17
Position according to averages : 9th
Kenya Airways – Dimension Data
Best predicted : 10th
Worst predicted : 21th
Average : 18,17
Position according to averages : 19th
Metinvest-Dacia
Best predicted : 1st
Worst predicted : 6th
Average : 3,50
Position according to averages : 3rd
MARSUPILAMI
Posted on 25-07-2016 11:18
Team Leader
Posts: 5573
Joined: 10-08-2013
PCM$: 300.00
Movistar – US Postal
Best predicted : 15th
Worst predicted : 21st
Average : 18,00
Position according to averages : 18th
Orange – KLM Cycling
Best predicted : 4th
Worst predicted : 16th
Average : 9,17
Position according to averages : 7th
Pendleton's
Best predicted : 7th
Worst predicted : 14th
Average : 9,50
Position according to averages : 8th
Pokerstars.com
Best predicted : 9th
Worst predicted : 15th
Average : 11,33
Position according to averages : 10th
RBC Pro Cycling
Best predicted : 16th
Worst predicted : 21st
Average : 18,67
Position according to averages : 21st
MARSUPILAMI
Posted on 25-07-2016 11:18
Team Leader
Posts: 5573
Joined: 10-08-2013
PCM$: 300.00
Red Bull - Huawei
Best predicted : 11th
Worst predicted : 20th
Average : 18,17
Position according to averages : 20th
Team I-Gen - Festina
Best predicted : 1st
Worst predicted : 4th
Average : 1,83
Position according to averages : 1st
Team Puma - SAP
Best predicted : 9th
Worst predicted : 14th
Average : 11,83
Position according to averages : 12th
Tinkoff Sport Academy
Best predicted : 3rd
Worst predicted : 18th
Average : 8,67
Position according to averages : 6th
Vesuvio - Accumalux
Best predicted : 2nd
Worst predicted : 5th
Average : 3,83
Position according to averages : 4th
MARSUPILAMI
Posted on 25-07-2016 11:19
Team Leader
Posts: 5573
Joined: 10-08-2013
PCM$: 300.00
Croatia14
Posted on 25-07-2016 11:46
Directeur Sportif
Posts: 9163
Joined: 13-03-2013
PCM$: 2200.00
Evonik & B-Post a little underrated in my opinion, while Tinkoff and e-buddy may look a little high up for me as an unexperienced predictor...
whitejersey
Posted on 25-07-2016 13:04
Classics Specialist
Posts: 3424
Joined: 07-08-2011
PCM$: 300.00
Really interesting that a lot of people really disagree on Tinkoff. You have them at 18th whille SotD and Smowz predict them in 3rd.
Ad Bot
Posted on 29-07-2026 15:34
Bot Agent
Posts: Countless
Joined: 23.11.09
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SotD
Posted on 06-08-2016 08:47
World Champion
Posts: 12994
Joined: 29-11-2006
PCM$: 2980.00
Also, you have used my algorythmic prediction, and not my subjective one, which should probably have been used instead. The one you took from me already include (partially) the other peoples predictions. So if you want mine you should take the subjective one. I would never vote myself in as winner. And looking at the results so far I am not going to win unless Spilak wins everything he rides - and he wont.
MARSUPILAMI
Posted on 06-08-2016 09:37
Team Leader
Posts: 5573
Joined: 10-08-2013
PCM$: 300.00
Well, now I'd need to change everything I added your algorhytmic prediction because someone (I can't remember who), advised me to add that one.
About the second part, predictions are predictions, they won't reflect reality in 99% cases
jt1109
Posted on 06-04-2017 02:36
Classics Specialist
Posts: 3693
Joined: 23-07-2008
PCM$: 700.00
Only one prediction of us to stay up and Smowz turns out to be right it seems also lots of people got Festina spot on Metinvest were over placed massively and Evonik and Puma were both highly underrated
Avin Wargunnson
Posted on 06-04-2017 07:10
World Champion
Posts: 13662
Joined: 20-06-2011
PCM$: 300.00
Yeah, now i can only laugh at those predictions.
But i dont think we were overhyped, we just underperformed in many races, all our 76-77 riders were totally worthless, while in teams that are above us, some of those scored massive lucky points from breaks and surprise AI turnarounds. We rarely got lucky with attacks, Zmorka was poor and several other factors. I still think we were 3rd-5th best team on paper.
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