Nibali > Kruiswijk @ 2,00
A very good stage for Nibali. I think the rest day will do wonders against a hot Kruijswijk. Not super value really, but I think Nibali should be the favourite in this duel.
... and just realised I had a bit money left at Unibet. So here goes.
Fuglsang > Dumoulin @ 1,95
Insane value! Tom D is empty and wants to chase stage wins, so he could lose chunks of time tomorrow.
Hesjedal > Siutsou @ 1,80
Hesjedal only gets better and Sioutsou stunk it up in the ITT.
Edited by Riis123 on 16-05-2016 13:01
Damn, wish my bookie had the Fuglsang/Dumoulin h2h.
Stage 9 Rigoberto Uran over Jakob Fuglsang @ 1.85 Maxime Monfort over Rein Taaramae @ 2.25 Stefan Kung over Bob Jungels @ 2.30
Rigoberto Uran Win @ 35
Bob Jungels Win @ 11
Stefan Kung Win @ 9.50
Bad day yesterday. Unlucky with the weather and crashes, but that's part of the game. Thought Uran over Fuglsang was as safe as a bet can be.
Stage 10
Sergey Firsanov over Bob Jungels @ 2.33
Darwin Atapuma over Nicolas Roche @ 2.02
Enrico Battaglin Win @ 75
So they still haven't caught on to the fact that Firsanov is a better climber than Jungels. I'm just a bit worried about his recovery. Won't be backing him for much longer.
I like your Firsanov, very good bet. It was Betsson.com, aight? I can't get on to that site for some reason, I need a 2nd/3rd bookie, but I have trouble finding the last since I already have gotten a bonus on Unibet. Betsafe, maybe? A little sceptic about Betfair still, I don't know how it works 100%.
I like your Firsanov, very good bet. It was Betsson.com, aight? I can't get on to that site for some reason, I need a 2nd/3rd bookie, but I have trouble finding the last since I already have gotten a bonus on Unibet. Betsafe, maybe? A little sceptic about Betfair still, I don't know how it works 100%.
Yes, I'm just using Betsson, for reasons explained earlier.
For serious cycling betting, Bet365, PaddyPower and Pinnaclesports are must-haves. The latter don't make their own h2hs, but they operate with tiny margins, so you can get great odds.
When I was betting seriously, I also used SportingBet a lot, and occasionally Centrebet.
Paddy power doesnt seem to to offer duels on stage 10, or am I blind? Maybe they will do that later on.
Pinnacle's odds look amazing, but they only seem to offer h2h's and nothing more on stage 10. Which is fine in itself, its where my money are made, but I would like more markets.
Squire wrote:
I think Zakarin is a waste of money. I read somewhere on the cyclingnews forum that among the riders who have been top 10 in Romandie, only two (?) in the last ten years have gone on to a top 10 in the Giro (Porte and Menchov, I think). Additionally, Zakarin is rather unproven in both high mountains and three week tours (but that's also a potentially profitable side of gamling, of course).
Wigans peaked from March to August in 2012,so that's not a problem
Purito was also very good in both April and May that year.
I like your Firsanov, very good bet. It was Betsson.com, aight? I can't get on to that site for some reason, I need a 2nd/3rd bookie, but I have trouble finding the last since I already have gotten a bonus on Unibet. Betsafe, maybe? A little sceptic about Betfair still, I don't know how it works 100%.
About Squire:
Firsanov and Atapuma are very good bets.
About Riis123:
Roglic is very good odds.
Also your odds are great generally.Though I think Chavez will beat Majka but 2.62 is superb odds.Also Fuglsang should beat Amador but 2.62 is great again.Also Uran should beat Firsanov but 2.75 is awesome.
Yes, Im very proud of Roglic. I thought he was best as a climber, but turns out he is a TT-machine, i bet ya he will try tomorrow with that shape and him getting better by the day from the crash.
Im not super sold on the rest of my odds apart from Fuglsang. Lets see.
I think you can rename it yourself by editing the first post
Stage 10 Sergey Firsanov over Bob Jungels @ 2.33 Darwin Atapuma over Nicolas Roche @ 2.02 Enrico Battaglin Win @ 75
So, Jungels is doing his best Ullrich impression. Happy for him (and your Jungels top 10 bet is looking good, Riis123), but now I regret not backing him against Firsanov when the odds on my bet shifted to 2.55 for Jungels. Would have been free money, although not much with my stakes. It's also a good way to have the bookie limit you, but with my meagre stakes, they probably wouldn't care. I also regret not getting on Valverde for the overall @ 6 something yesterday, he's looking imperious, but I was scared of Landa. Ah well, put a little something on him at 4.30 today. He's also my favourite rider, so I'm not too bothered about the lower value. Low stakes, as pointed out.
Although I'm now only slightly in the green for the Giro, I'm soldiering on
Stage 11
Diego Ulissi over Alejandro Valverde @ 2.85
Moreno Moser Win @ 45
Kanstantsin Siutsou Win @ 225
Not a lot of tempting bets for tomorrow. I'm annoyed that my bookie don't have odds for Pozzato for the stage win. He could be a nice longshot stage winner.
Had an extremely bad day. At my parents and forgot my login, but I don't think I hit many of them above... don't even want to check at PCS at this point, oh well.
I wanted to play Ulissi to badly over Valverde, but can't, really gutted.
Not too many great offers. These were the best IMO. Howard apparently favoured over Zabel who have performed way better in the sprints so far...
Edited by Riis123 on 19-05-2016 11:28
Stage 11 Diego Ulissi over Alejandro Valverde @ 2.85 Moreno Moser Win @ 45
Kanstantsin Siutsou Win @ 225
Just dowloaded and watched the stage. Great finale! Ulissi was a good shout for the stage win too obviously, but his odds weren't tempting at all.
Stage 12
Sacha Modolo over Giacomo Nizzolo @ 2.45
Don't like putting much on sprint stages, they're really unpredictable with crashes etc., especially today's. Modolo has the leadout advantage over Nizzolo, which could be key today. He should also be just as fast as Nizzolo in a flat sprint after an easy stage, but the Trek rider is obviously in generally great shape.
Your sprinter h2hs look good, Riis123. Zabel should definitely beat Howard.
Yeah, you know how I said Modolo had the lead-out advantage? Ferrari just left him with a huge gap up to Greipel and Ewan in the last corner which he had to close himself, and Nizzolo got a free lead-out on Modolo's wheel...
Squire wrote:
Yeah, you know how I said Modolo had the lead-out advantage? Ferrari just left him with a huge gap up to Greipel and Ewan in the last corner which he had to close himself, and Nizzolo got a free lead-out on Modolo's wheel...
Haha, yeah. Never lucky I guess.
Thank god we are going into the mountains, it changes the dynamic a lot, altho I have actually had some few good flat stages this year. But as you alluded to, its random!
Insane value on Jungels. Only allowed to play 1000 DKK on bet365 and was about to place the odds when it changed from 2,20 to 2,00.
Edited by Riis123 on 20-05-2016 11:49
