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Sunday, July 1 - Tour de France, Stage 1: Liege - Seraing, 198 km
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| Riis123 |
Posted on 30-06-2012 19:17
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I would be very surprised to see Cavendish win tomorrow, even just seing him in the top 10. This isn't some weak prep race, it's the Tour de France and I am pretty sure that he will be dropped before the final kilometer or being left too far behind in the peloton. |
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| Kirchen_75 |
Posted on 30-06-2012 19:38
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Saganize it Peter |
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| ianrussell |
Posted on 30-06-2012 21:37
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Sagan or Gilbert for me but with an aside that Cavendish will be interesting to keep an eye on to see what the weight loss has done for him... |
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| SotD |
Posted on 30-06-2012 22:54
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Do you guys reckon that Gretsch and Grivko will lose positions in the GC tomorrow?
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| Wilier |
Posted on 30-06-2012 23:25
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Prediction for today. Hoogerland will be in the break. 
Favourites for the stage: Sagan, Gilbert, LLS. |
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| Trout80 |
Posted on 01-07-2012 04:54
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I think Boasson Hagen will win this one |
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| Pellizotti2 |
Posted on 01-07-2012 07:38
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SotD wrote:
Do you guys reckon that Gretsch and Grivko will lose positions in the GC tomorrow?
Well, Grivko stayed in the main field on the similar climb to Saint-Félicien in the Dauphiné. Would surprise me if he gets dropped on such easy climb.
For Gretsch, I'll just say I'm not familiar enough with his climbing capacity.
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| Teddy The Creator |
Posted on 01-07-2012 07:44
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Fabian to stay in yellow. I hope Sagan doesn't win, so I'm saying a surprise like maybe Cav or Goss, or a Chavanel/Valverde type.
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| Alakagom |
Posted on 01-07-2012 09:44
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So the climb begins very steep for few hundred metres. Then it eases out completely and then rises for 700 metres to average 6-7% gradients with 10% at it's highest and eases out at the end.
Edited by Alakagom on 01-07-2012 09:45
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| doddy13 |
Posted on 01-07-2012 09:45
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A pure sprinter won't win, I'm pretty sure of that. Maybe Sagan actually.
There's no point slapping a schleck - Sean Kelly on "Who needs a slap"
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| Pellizotti2 |
Posted on 01-07-2012 09:49
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That's interesting. The profile on the Tour's website makes it look a lot easier by just showing that the average percentage is about 4,5%.
Can't see past Sagan now. Gilbert and Cancellara to join him on the podium.
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| Ad Bot |
Posted on 20-12-2025 06:54
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| Ian Butler |
Posted on 01-07-2012 09:49
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Like I already said, I think it's pretty perfect for Gilbert.
He showed that he's finally getting in shape, yesterday.
Sagan will have to get past him if he wants to win.
And if Gilbert would win, I wonder if he'd take yellow. Cancellara is getting good but he's not his regular self yet, he's not in the best shape. |
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| Vien |
Posted on 01-07-2012 09:53
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Imo it isn't steep enough. Either Sagan or EBH will win this. I'm just not sure if Goss and Cav will have a go as well.
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| kumazan |
Posted on 01-07-2012 09:57
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Ian Butler wrote:
And if Gilbert would win, I wonder if he'd take yellow. Cancellara is getting good but he's not his regular self yet, he's not in the best shape.
No way Cancellara loses 13 seconds to Gilbert (or anyone for that matter) there. It's just not hard enough.
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| Pellizotti2 |
Posted on 01-07-2012 10:01
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Here are some pictures from the steeper parts of the final climb I took from Street View on Google Maps. There are some cobbles as well, to make it even harder.
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| Pellizotti2 |
Posted on 01-07-2012 10:14
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Btw, apparently they won't race all the way to the top of the climb you posted, Alakagom. They're finishing at 204m, which means that the second hard part with ~10% won't be climbed. So just the first, very steep part, then basically a flat finish.
I'm still going with Sagan, but with Cavendish for a Top 5.
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| Miguel98 |
Posted on 01-07-2012 10:18
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It's a stage perfectly made for Peter Sagan. |
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| kumazan |
Posted on 01-07-2012 10:23
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Pellizotti2 wrote:
Btw, apparently they won't race all the way to the top of the climb you posted, Alakagom. They're finishing at 204m, which means that the second hard part with ~10% won't be climbed. So just the first, very steep part, then basically a flat finish.
I'm still going with Sagan, but with Cavendish for a Top 5.
Well, the "flat" finish is still like 500m @5%, so not really flat.
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| Pellizotti2 |
Posted on 01-07-2012 10:36
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kumazan wrote:
Pellizotti2 wrote:
Btw, apparently they won't race all the way to the top of the climb you posted, Alakagom. They're finishing at 204m, which means that the second hard part with ~10% won't be climbed. So just the first, very steep part, then basically a flat finish.
I'm still going with Sagan, but with Cavendish for a Top 5.
Well, the "flat" finish is still like 500m @5%, so not really flat.
Yeah, I noticed that. Still easier than if they'd ridden the whole climb.
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| Aquarius |
Posted on 01-07-2012 10:49
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Where's Hushovd when you need him ? This stage could have been his. |
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