With the Giro being a little boring atm, I thought i would give a little review of the Tour 2014-route:
What almost looks like an entirely flat and somewhat dull first week is not true. Stage 2 is as decently hilly stage where a strong man in a break seems to have good chances, as well as a sprinter like Goss or Sagan with the strength to survive. Stage 5 to Arenberg is without a doubt the most exciting stage in this first week - compared to the cobbled stage in 2010, this one is ALOT harder. First of all, the cobbles start with 70 km to go and secondly, they will face secteurs such as Pévele and Hornaing. This will be a blast.
The remaining 5 stages of week 1 seems to be for the sprinters, allthough stage 7 to Nancy do have 2 cat 4 climbs in the finale with some rather steep gradients. I wouldnt be surprised if Kittel at this point have 3 stage victories.
In week 2, we face a completely different terrain - from the UK and north western France to the more thrilling Vosgues and Alps. The reason i like this route so much this year is mainly due to the Vosgues which we will face at stage 8, 9 and 10.
It already starts at the first stage. A first flat 130 km's will be rounded of with 3 hard climbs at the final in a session where no rest is allowed. First up is Col de la Croix des Moinats followed the Col de Grosse Pierre followed up by the stage ending La Mauselaine-climb (1,8 km at 10,3%). I think we will see the favorites at the last climb dueling it out for the stage victory - i like Contador in this one.
Stage 9 is very similar to the stage Michael Rasmussen won in 2005 where he claimed the polka dotted-jersey. A very climb heavy 2/3 of the stage and downhill and flat for the rest into Mulhouse. The stage is suited for the break (maybe the first one in this year's edition).
While the 2 first stages of the Vosgues seem rather interesting, the stage to Plance des Belles Filles. Compared to 2012, this stage seem to be a 'real' mountain stage as the peloton at the end of the day would have climbed 4 categories 1, 2 categories 2 and 1 category 3. I think we are in for fireworks.
Next up is the Alps, but first 2 transitions stage. First first one to Oyonax is relatively bumpy, but i still expect the sprinters to win both of those. The first stage in the Alps goes to Chamrousse, a climb with similar length and gradients to Tourmalet at 18,2 km and 7,3% - however, the climb is steepest in the bottom. Before Chamrousse, they also have to climb the cat 1 Col de Palaquit. I honesly dont know what to expect of this stage, but would put my money on a break. The last stage in the Alps and rounding off week 2 is the stage to Risoul which will offer another opportunity for the climbers and in my opinion a stage which is better suited to create gaps in the GC than the day before. Before reaching Risoul, they also have to climb Lautarat and the legendary Izoard (19,6 km, 6%). Compared to Chamrousse, Risoul (12,6 km, 7%) is steepest towards the top which definetely opens up for the big guns. I expect big gaps today.
Going in to the 3rd and final weak, I think the GC is set now. The Alpine-stages havent been the hardest, but combined with the cobbled stage and the 3 days in the Vosgues we should have relatively big gaps, even without the Pyrenées and the TT.
Going into the Pyrenées, we start of with a stage to Bagnéres-de-Luchon similar to the stage in 2010 where Schleck had his infamous mechanical. Similar to 2010, I expect a break to win this stage and the favourites playing passively until the last 5-6 km of Balés which in itself is a bery hard climb (11,7 km, 7,7% with i hardest sections towards the middle and top of the climb). The next day is what i consinder to be the 'queen stage' of this Tour de France. At only 124 kms, the stage is not long, but once we reach the first climb (Col du Portillon, 8,3 km, 7,1%), it never stops from here. Portillon is followed by the Peyresourde (13,2 km, 7%) - once Peyresourde i forced, Col de Val Louron-Azet (7,4 km, 8,3%) waits. All of those climbs are categorized at category 1, only leaving one climb left, the 10,2 kilometer long Saint-Lary Soulan or Pla d'Adet (HC) at 8,3 which is indredibly steep at the bottom, very similar to Alpe d' Huez. I can't wait for this day - a classic stage in the Pyrenées which is tailormade for a rider like Froome and his strong team.
The last stage in the Pyrenées is the famous Pau-Hautacam stage, which includes Hórs Categories Col Du Tourmalet and Hautecam. Through the years, we have seen rather, lets say, interesting ascents - Bjarne Riis' in 1996 and latest Saunier Duvals in 2008. Hopefully, we wont see that again this year. As this stage pose as the last chance for the climbers before the TT, expect - similar to the day before - fireworks.
Before going into the TT, stage 19 to Bergerac has to be riden. I expect the break to take this one after a - at least on paper - very hard Tour de France 2014. I havent seen the profile of the TT, but as with all TT this late in the race, it depends more on your shape + the fact that the official site writes its more for the "strong men", i expect a Froome to win here more so than specialists. As always, we ends with a stage in Paris to Champs-Èlysées.
To round this of, i'll once again point out that this is a very interesting route (at least to me). We technically have 6 mountain finishes (if you count stage 8 in the Vosgues), a cobbled stage, the stage to Bagnéres-de-Luchon and only 1 TT at the end of the race.
Apart from the shitty Alpine stages and the bewildering complete lack of any TT whatsoever until the penultimate stage it's a decent route, not as good as last year's though. Nice to see that pretty much all the Vosgian climbs get in to the route, that should be an interesting part of the race to watch.
Stromeon wrote:
Apart from the shitty Alpine stages and the bewildering complete lack of any TT whatsoever until the penultimate stage it's a decent route, not as good as last year's though. Nice to see that pretty much all the Vosgian climbs get in to the route, that should be an interesting part of the race to watch.
Routewise, I think it's similar as good to 2013. I do think it's a huge plus that we only have one TT so Froome doesnt put 2 minutes into Nibali and Contador. This way it can be a lot more close until the end. The Alps arent great, however, both stages finishes uphill and are decently hard. And the Risoul-will go over Izoard which always is a pleasure! + as you mentions the Vosgues are looking very interesting.
Good indications of who we can expect to see this year. My questionmarks (or riders Ill look forward to how perform) are Tejay, Betencur and Rui Costa. I really hope those 3 do well. However, Im not sure if Rui and Betencur will ride the GC, but i kinda assume and hope they will. Also interesting and young riders such as Sepulveda, Demare, Jungels and Bardet will attend.