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Strade Bianche Discussion
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| cunego59 |
Posted on 11-11-2026 07:23
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Team Manager

Posts: 6829
Joined: 14-09-2008
PCM$: 1290.00
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Strade Bianche 
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Preview
One of the more iconic races of the IRL and MGUCI calendar, the Strade Bianche leads us onto the white roads of Tuscany. It has a rich history going back to 2009, in which there hasn’t been a single repeat winner. A few riders could change that this year, one stands out in particular, but competition will be fierce. And despite some patterns, gravel roads can lead to surprises as well. We'll see how it plays out in the report by Imladrik.
After a pretty calm first half with only one major climb - the longest of the day -, things pick up in the final 80 kilometers. The white roads await and they will push the riders to their limit. Few long hills accompany them, but it’s still a constant up and down with short ramps and quick downhills. This holds all the way through to the finish line, where we’ve seen everything from solo victories to sprints from groups as large as 16 over the last few years.
| FL | MM | HI | ST | RS | CO | SP | AC | DH | Benoot | 71 | 78 | 81 | 75 | 74 | 76 | 69 | 71 | 66 | Van der Poel | 73 | 74 | 77 | 78 | 77 | 72 | 72 | 77 | 79 | Jorgenson | 73 | 79 | 78 | 79 | 78 | 68 | 65 | 71 | 69 | Hirschi | 71 | 79 | 81 | 78 | 78 | 66 | 66 | 75 | 77 | Schmid | 72 | 79 | 80 | 73 | 78 | 69 | 70 | 79 | 74 | Van Niekerk | 69 | 78 | 80 | 72 | 75 | 66 | 64 | 74 | 71 | Van Dijke | 69 | 77 | 80 | 74 | 75 | 67 | 71 | 74 | 72 | McCarthy | 68 | 73 | 80 | 77 | 72 | 67 | 63 | 71 | 69 | Müller | 70 | 74 | 80 | 76 | 71 | 68 | 66 | 73 | 63 | Simmons | 72 | 77 | 79 | 73 | 76 | 67 | 68 | 79 | 72 |
Historically, this race has favored puncheurs who are not completely hopeless on cobbles. Benoot is of course the poster child for this and he has a good track record here, having finished 3rd and 2nd in the last two years. Last year’s winner, though, was Van der Poel, who finished solo ahead of Jorgenson. It’s the same trio that dominated Viana do Castelo, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see all three of them on the podium again.
Working against that are many of the best puncheurs of the division. Van Niekerk and Hirschi finished 4th and 5th, respectively, last year. Schmid and Van Dijke join the fold as riders of similar caliber, both surely gunning for a Top 5 as well.
Müller also already has a strong result to his name here, finishing 4th in 2024 – one place behind McCarthy. The Australian competes in his 7th (!) edition, has already won the race in 2021 and has four more Top 6 results. Perhaps the most accomplished rider in this race’s history, age has taken its toll on him, but he should still aim for at least the Top 10. Simmons, meanwhile, makes his Strade Bianche debut with the same goal.
| FL | MM | HI | ST | RS | CO | SP | AC | DH | Per | 79 | 69 | 70 | 74 | 75 | 82 | 74 | 74 | 72 | Girmay | 77 | 68 | 71 | 76 | 76 | 81 | 77 | 76 | 71 | Gamper | 77 | 65 | 67 | 77 | 77 | 81 | 64 | 71 | 72 | Jacobs | 76 | 65 | 69 | 77 | 76 | 79 | 67 | 68 | 73 | Moulingui | 74 | 62 | 71 | 71 | 71 | 78 | 65 | 68 | 71 | Owen | 73 | 67 | 69 | 73 | 71 | 78 | 64 | 71 | 74 | Orue | 69 | 57 | 64 | 77 | 70 | 78 | 53 | 58 | 73 | Habimana | 74 | 70 | 75 | 74 | 73 | 77 | 66 | 71 | 68 | Pithie | 74 | 69 | 72 | 76 | 74 | 77 | 73 | 74 | 72 | Ulloa | 72 | 68 | 70 | 73 | 72 | 77 | 68 | 68 | 64 | Tediashvili | 75 | 68 | 70 | 76 | 78 | 77 | 71 | 71 | 66 | Bohli | 74 | 66 | 68 | 79 | 75 | 77 | 74 | 68 | 68 | Nareklishvili | 72 | 64 | 66 | 73 | 73 | 77 | 64 | 71 | 62 | Kolev | 75 | 57 | 62 | 73 | 71 | 77 | 62 | 67 | 64 | Lapeira | 77 | 71 | 72 | 74 | 73 | 76 | 76 | 74 | 71 | Stewart | 77 | 67 | 72 | 74 | 77 | 76 | 76 | 71 | 68 | Centrone | 74 | 67 | 71 | 72 | 67 | 76 | 53 | 58 | 75 | Hvideberg | 78 | 67 | 70 | 74 | 74 | 76 | 65 | 65 | 65 | Jansen | 72 | 67 | 70 | 75 | 72 | 76 | 75 | 70 | 65 | Abrahamsen | 77 | 71 | 75 | 73 | 76 | 75 | 72 | 75 | 67 |
Pure cobbles riders typically don’t win here, but they have certainly been competitive, as evidenced most recently by Wisniowski and Girmay finishing 7th and 18th last year, respectively. The Eritrean is back and, alongside Per, perhaps the strongest candidate of this group.
Outside of those two, the focus among the riders listed here should probably be on the most versatile riders who combine decent-ish hill stats with strong stamina and a good sprint. Grieg comes with a whole bunch of these to support or even supplant Per, including youngster Pithie, who sensationally finished 6th here last year, Bohli, Jansen and Abrahamsen.
Other notable riders in this category include the usual allrounder suspects: Tediashvili, Lapeira and Stewart will always be names to look out for, Hvideberg finished in the Top 30 last year, and if downhill has a significant impact here as has been suggested in the offseason, maybe keep an eye out for Centrone.
| FL | MM | HI | ST | RS | CO | SP | AC | DH | Eiking | 71 | 75 | 81 | 78 | 74 | 54 | 68 | 76 | 69 | De Bie | 69 | 74 | 80 | 71 | 70 | 64 | 68 | 69 | 61 | Eriksson | 72 | 73 | 79 | 78 | 74 | 65 | 65 | 76 | 71 | Errazkin | 71 | 77 | 79 | 76 | 75 | 65 | 63 | 73 | 67 | Kron | 73 | 75 | 79 | 75 | 75 | 64 | 66 | 73 | 71 | Kanerva | 69 | 72 | 79 | 75 | 69 | 55 | 64 | 76 | 69 | Gebrezgabihier | 68 | 75 | 79 | 74 | 74 | 53 | 67 | 69 | 66 | Yates | 72 | 74 | 79 | 74 | 67 | 50 | 75 | 77 | 62 | Vakoc | 69 | 74 | 79 | 72 | 68 | 50 | 69 | 71 | 64 | Lagane | 70 | 74 | 78 | 70 | 71 | 65 | 76 | 77 | 63 | Madouas | 74 | 77 | 78 | 76 | 73 | 60 | 73 | 73 | 68 | Wandahl | 71 | 74 | 78 | 76 | 76 | 58 | 67 | 75 | 72 | Kelderman | 66 | 73 | 78 | 74 | 69 | 58 | 63 | 66 | 67 | Govekar | 72 | 75 | 78 | 73 | 75 | 58 | 70 | 78 | 71 | Gladysh | 72 | 74 | 77 | 73 | 72 | 61 | 71 | 76 | 69 | Paez | 73 | 75 | 77 | 74 | 70 | 58 | 73 | 76 | 65 |
There are other puncheurs here who have missed the cut to be considered not-completely-hopeless-on-cobbles, some by just a tiny bit, others by quite a bit more. For the former, the strong Bacharu Mamachari Faito! duo of Eriksson and Lagane stand out, as does De Bie. The Belgian veteran lacks some decent punch though, which might hinder him, same for Errazkin and Kron.
Then you have riders like Madouas, Govekar, Gladysh or Paez, who would be tremendous for this type of course if it weren’t for their terrible cobbles skills. But depending on how the race will be raced, perhaps don’t fully discount them yet.
A final shoutout might give them some hope: 2015 winner Kelderman, probably the most experienced rider on these streets with 8 participations already under his belt, obviously has his best years behind him, but has been a regular Top 10 to Top 15 finisher over the years, with a 16th place as recently as last year, when he was already a good bit past his peak. If he could do it, why not anyone else on this list?
Spoiler | Lagane | Christopher | Bacharu Mamachari Faito! | | Eriksson | Lucas | Bacharu Mamachari Faito! | | Hofstetter | Hugo | Bacharu Mamachari Faito! | | Strong | Corbin | Bacharu Mamachari Faito! | | Arifin | Muhammad Imam | Bacharu Mamachari Faito! | | Marte | Jesus Roniel | Bacharu Mamachari Faito! | | Livyns | Arjen | Bacharu Mamachari Faito! | | Takape | Jone | Bacharu Mamachari Faito! | | Van der Poel | Mathieu | Bianchi Enel | | Lapeira | Paul | Bianchi Enel | | Bettles | Carter | Bianchi Enel | | Turner | Ben | Bianchi Enel | | Belletta | Dario | Bianchi Enel | | Van Mechelen | Vlad | Bianchi Enel | | Chesini | Cesare | Bianchi Enel | | Sandri | Edoardo | Bianchi Enel | | Girmay | Biniam | Bralirwa - Cegeka | | Madouas | Valentin | Bralirwa - Cegeka | | Habimana | Jean Eric | Bralirwa - Cegeka | | Miltiadis | Andreas | Bralirwa - Cegeka | | De Buyst | Jasper | Bralirwa - Cegeka | | Kuypers | Gerben | Bralirwa - Cegeka | | Marti | Pau | Bralirwa - Cegeka | | Niyonkuru | Samuel | Bralirwa - Cegeka | | Benoot | Tiesj | Duvel - Tsingtao | | Niu | Yikui | Duvel - Tsingtao | | Dewulf | Stan | Duvel - Tsingtao | | Nieuwenhuis | Joris | Duvel - Tsingtao | | Watson | Samuel | Duvel - Tsingtao | | Rex | Laurenz | Duvel - Tsingtao | | De Witte | Mathias | Duvel - Tsingtao | | Ju | Jinyang | Duvel - Tsingtao | | Gladysh | Roman | Ethiopian Airlines | | Gebrezgabihier | Amanuel | Ethiopian Airlines | | Vendrame | Andrea | Ethiopian Airlines | | Schönberger | Sebastian | Ethiopian Airlines | | De Kleijn | Arvid | Ethiopian Airlines | | Munyaneza | Didier | Ethiopian Airlines | | Del Grosso | Tibor | Ethiopian Airlines | | Dike | Joshua | Ethiopian Airlines | | Errazkin | Xuban | Everesting | | Diaz Suarez | Andy Alihonay | Everesting | | Lau | Wan Yau | Everesting | | Vasko | Levente | Everesting | | Mwiguru | Malaika | Everesting | | Voltr | Martin | Everesting | | Landbo | Mads | Everesting | | Oshri | Itai | Everesting | | Eiking | Odd Christian | Gjensidige Pro Cycling Team | | Wandahl | Frederik | Gjensidige Pro Cycling Team | | Hvideberg | Jonas Iversby | Gjensidige Pro Cycling Team | | Fjellheim | Henrik Teslo | Gjensidige Pro Cycling Team | | Dyrnes | Kristian | Gjensidige Pro Cycling Team | | Vabo | Tore Andre | Gjensidige Pro Cycling Team | | Andersen | Idar | Gjensidige Pro Cycling Team | | Hagenes | Per Strand | Gjensidige Pro Cycling Team | | Per | David | Grieg-Maersk | | Abrahamsen | Jonas | Grieg-Maersk | | Pithie | Laurence | Grieg-Maersk | | Bohli | Tom | Grieg-Maersk | | Swift | Connor | Grieg-Maersk | | Jansen | Amund Grondahl | Grieg-Maersk | | Dversnes | Fredrik | Grieg-Maersk | | Van Gestel | Dries | Grieg-Maersk | | Yates | Simon | JEWA TIROL | | Bellan | Juraj | JEWA TIROL | | Kelderman | Wilco | JEWA TIROL | | Sulimov | Alexander | JEWA TIROL | | Orue | German Anibal | JEWA TIROL | | Manamalage | Nipuna Shira | JEWA TIROL | | Schmid | Mauro | Jura GIANTS | | Paez | Andres | Jura GIANTS | | Stewart | Jake | Jura GIANTS | | Delco | Lorenzo | Jura GIANTS | | Van Tricht | Stan | Jura GIANTS | | Golliker | Joshua | Jura GIANTS | | Christen | Jan | Jura GIANTS | | Koerdt | Bjoern | Jura GIANTS | | Gamper | Patrick | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Calzoni | Walter | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Van Den Bossche | Fabio | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Siddikov | Dilmurdjon | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Suter | Joel | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Segaert | Alec | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Bonneu | Kamiel | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Arrighetti | Nicolo | Lierse SK - Pizza Ullo PCTeam | | Vakoc | Petr | Lotto-Caloi | | Finkler | Leonardo Henrique | Lotto-Caloi | | Ariesen | Tim | Lotto-Caloi | | Berckmoes | Jenno | Lotto-Caloi | | El Alouani | Driss | Lotto-Caloi | | Changsheng | Sun | Lotto-Caloi | | Rangel | Vinicius | Lotto-Caloi | | Santos | Vinicius Silva | Lotto-Caloi | | Simmons | Quinn | McCormick Pro Cycling | | Barthe | Cyril | McCormick Pro Cycling | | Peters | Nans | McCormick Pro Cycling | | Godon | Dorian | McCormick Pro Cycling | | Hecht | Gage | McCormick Pro Cycling | | Dujardin | Sandy | McCormick Pro Cycling | | Hoehn | Alex | McCormick Pro Cycling | | Kessler | Cole | McCormick Pro Cycling | | Van Niekerk | Aidan | Minions | | Cepeda Hernandez | Jefferson | Minions | | Morales Ortega | Jacob | Minions | | Lecourt De Billot | Olivier | Minions | | Le Gac | Olivier | Minions | | Sweeck | Laurens | Minions | | Dressler | Luca | Minions | | Ndungu | Bernard | Minions | | Van Dijke | Mick | Philips - Hero | | Boileau | Alan | Philips - Hero | | McCormick | Hayden | Philips - Hero | | Hofstede | Lennard | Philips - Hero | | Nerurkar | Lukas | Philips - Hero | | Vinokurov | Nicolas | Philips - Hero | | Domgjoni | Ivo | Philips - Hero | | Elkatohchoongo | David Beckham | Philips - Hero | | Hirschi | Marc | Sauber Petronas Racing | | Kron | Andreas | Sauber Petronas Racing | | De Bie | Sean | Sauber Petronas Racing | | Kanerva | Joni | Sauber Petronas Racing | | Nareklishvili | Beka | Sauber Petronas Racing | | Olei | Federico | Sauber Petronas Racing | | Giulietti | Luigi | Sauber Petronas Racing | | Putti | Riccardo | Sauber Petronas Racing | | McCarthy | Jay | SEE Turtles | | Main | Kent | SEE Turtles | | Restrepo | Jhonatan | SEE Turtles | | Watson | Calvin | SEE Turtles | | Batmunkh | Maral-Erdene | SEE Turtles | | Jurado | Cristofer Robin | SEE Turtles | | Tuckwell | Luke | SEE Turtles | | Avila | Freddy Alejandro | SEE Turtles | | McKenna | Sean | Simba Cement - Tanga Fresh | | Turgis | Anthony | Simba Cement - Tanga Fresh | | Owen | Logan | Simba Cement - Tanga Fresh | | Yechezkel | Aviv | Simba Cement - Tanga Fresh | | Jung | Ha Jeon | Simba Cement - Tanga Fresh | | Kulindwa | Lameck Marco | Simba Cement - Tanga Fresh | | Schomber | Nils | Simba Cement - Tanga Fresh | | Malale | Said | Simba Cement - Tanga Fresh | | Sprenger | Felix | SparkNZ - Liquigas Pro Cycling | | Duyvesteyn | Kees | SparkNZ - Liquigas Pro Cycling | | Roson | Jaime | SparkNZ - Liquigas Pro Cycling | | Thompson | Reuben | SparkNZ - Liquigas Pro Cycling | | Pellizzari | Giulio | SparkNZ - Liquigas Pro Cycling | | Torrico Menachio | Carlos Antonio | SparkNZ - Liquigas Pro Cycling | | Narraway | Nicholas | SparkNZ - Liquigas Pro Cycling | | Medway | Jackson | SparkNZ - Liquigas Pro Cycling | | Verschaeve | Viktor | THE ONE - Fox God | | Ulloa | Jose Gerardo | THE ONE - Fox God | | Arashiro | Yudai | THE ONE - Fox God | | De Laat | Jasper | THE ONE - Fox God | | Malacarne | Alex | THE ONE - Fox God | | Graat | Tijmen | THE ONE - Fox God | | Todome | Yuhi | THE ONE - Fox God | | Yamada | Takumi | THE ONE - Fox God | | Govekar | Matevz | Trans Looney Tunes | | Tediashvili | Giorgi | Trans Looney Tunes | | Moulingui | Clenne Morvan | Trans Looney Tunes | | Kolev | Iliyan | Trans Looney Tunes | | Centrone | Ivan | Trans Looney Tunes | | Peng | Yuan Tan | Trans Looney Tunes | | Bechkov | Aleks | Trans Looney Tunes | | Gomez | Camilo Andres | Trans Looney Tunes | | Sheehan | Riley | Tryg - Eni | | Adria | Roger | Tryg - Eni | | Honore | Mikkel | Tryg - Eni | | Morgado | Antonio | Tryg - Eni | | Per | Gorazd | Tryg - Eni | | Tarling | Joshua | Tryg - Eni | | Lamperti | Luke | Tryg - Eni | | Matuzevicius | Zygimantas | Tryg - Eni | | Jacobs | Johan | UBS - EDP | | Müller | Patrick | UBS - EDP | | Brun | Nils | UBS - EDP | | Schäppi | Martin | UBS - EDP | | Voisard | Yannis | UBS - EDP | | Maciejuk | Filip | UBS - EDP | | Jenni | Luca | UBS - EDP | | Pescador | Diego | UBS - EDP | | Jorgenson | Matteo | Zwift - Newton Foundation | | Lopez | Juan Pedro | Zwift - Newton Foundation | | Kaczmarek | Jakub | Zwift - Newton Foundation | | Simmons | Colby | Zwift - Newton Foundation | | Kopecky | Tomas | Zwift - Newton Foundation | | Van Boven | Luca | Zwift - Newton Foundation | | Shmidt | Artem | Zwift - Newton Foundation | | Shtin | Valery | Zwift - Newton Foundation |
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| Heine |
Posted on 11-11-2026 08:31
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Grand Tour Specialist

Posts: 5172
Joined: 08-04-2007
PCM$: 200.00
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Van Der Poel and Hirschi my big favorites here with VdP as the main one. Downhill plays a role on the gravel and I think that is what pushes it for me
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| Gustavovskiy |
Posted on 11-11-2026 08:36
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Team Leader

Posts: 6412
Joined: 20-07-2008
PCM$: 200.00
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Should be an entertaining race. First (?) hilly classic of the season brings a lot of anxiety with it. How does your hills leader compare with the rest of the field? And, especially, the question everyone asks for the last few years, who tf asked for cobbles in Strade Bianche?
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| Laurens147 |
Posted on 11-11-2026 09:01
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Sprinter

Posts: 1824
Joined: 26-04-2020
PCM$: 900.00
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I’m bringing the popcorn out for the battle between the big guns Should be interesting! We’re just here to fill up, don’t expect anything to be honest.
Thanks cunego for the preview!
MG - Lotto - Caloi
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| Caspi |
Posted on 11-11-2026 09:11
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Protected Rider

Posts: 1178
Joined: 22-09-2022
PCM$: 19900.00
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Looking for a top 20 here but unsure if we should bet on from Owen or Turgis?
Thanks for the preview.
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| jt1109 |
Posted on 11-11-2026 09:43
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Classics Specialist

Posts: 3792
Joined: 23-07-2008
PCM$: 800.00
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Heine wrote:
Van Der Poel and Hirschi my big favorites here with VdP as the main one. Downhill plays a role on the gravel and I think that is what pushes it for me
Would have agreed with this completely if the manager for Bianchi hadn't made a braindead move in planning 
At some point I tried Lapeira and VdP in this together and it went terrible (VdP stays at the back as he has a free role so it takes him longer to come through the group and sometimes the race is gone), while Lapeira doesn't climb well enough to get through the white roads.
Okay i thought no worries I won't do that in season.
Soo.......... imagine my surprise looking at the startlist i've double checked and i've just not changed back to my original plan.
Can VdP still win yesss have i made it 100x harder for him also yes
To me Hirschi, Schmiid must have huge chances with their DH stat, also watch out for Sprenger for Spark with 80+ DH
And for similar reasons i wouldn't be high on Benoot here or Muller think the DH/Gravel may just ruin their stamina, similar comments apply to Per the course is probably too hard. |
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Posted on 12-11-2026 12:55
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| Heine |
Posted on 11-11-2026 09:49
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Grand Tour Specialist

Posts: 5172
Joined: 08-04-2007
PCM$: 200.00
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jt1109 wrote:
Heine wrote:
Van Der Poel and Hirschi my big favorites here with VdP as the main one. Downhill plays a role on the gravel and I think that is what pushes it for me
Would have agreed with this completely if the manager for Bianchi hadn't made a braindead move in planning
At some point I tried Lapeira and VdP in this together and it went terrible (VdP stays at the back as he has a free role so it takes him longer to come through the group and sometimes the race is gone), while Lapeira doesn't climb well enough to get through the white roads.
Okay i thought no worries I won't do that in season.
Soo.......... imagine my surprise looking at the startlist i've double checked and i've just not changed back to my original plan.
Can VdP still win yesss have i made it 100x harder for him also yes
To me Hirschi, Schmiid must have huge chances with their DH stat, also watch out for Sprenger for Spark with 80+ DH
And for similar reasons i wouldn't be high on Benoot here or Muller think the DH/Gravel may just ruin their stamina, similar comments apply to Per the course is probably too hard.
Good to hear that you can make mistakes in planning aswell, feels good for me and everyone else
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| cunego59 |
Posted on 11-11-2026 09:56
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Team Manager

Posts: 6829
Joined: 14-09-2008
PCM$: 1290.00
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jt1109 wrote:
To me Hirschi, Schmiid must have huge chances with their DH stat, also watch out for Sprenger for Spark with 80+ DH
And for similar reasons i wouldn't be high on Benoot here or Muller think the DH/Gravel may just ruin their stamina, similar comments apply to Per the course is probably too hard.
I thought about highlighting DH more, as I know you found some influence in your testing (and Heine maybe, too). But looking at last year with the same engine already, places 2 through 4 had 69, 66 and 71 DH, all ahead of Hirschi. Maybe that's the outlier compared to your tests which are more representative as a baseline, but it was enough for me to not put too much emphasis on it. I guess we'll find out 
As for my team, I think Madouas is probably too weak on cobbles, and I hope his inclusion doesn't mess up the hierarchy with Girmay and Habimana. Both of them are Top 15 material I reckon, and I hope at least one of them gets there. Three riders in the points (either Madouas or Kuypers as the third) would be ideal.
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| redordead |
Posted on 11-11-2026 10:00
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Team Leader

Posts: 5968
Joined: 18-10-2017
PCM$: 200.00
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jt1109 wrote:
Heine wrote:
Van Der Poel and Hirschi my big favorites here with VdP as the main one. Downhill plays a role on the gravel and I think that is what pushes it for me
Would have agreed with this completely if the manager for Bianchi hadn't made a braindead move in planning
At some point I tried Lapeira and VdP in this together and it went terrible (VdP stays at the back as he has a free role so it takes him longer to come through the group and sometimes the race is gone), while Lapeira doesn't climb well enough to get through the white roads.
Okay i thought no worries I won't do that in season.
Soo.......... imagine my surprise looking at the startlist i've double checked and i've just not changed back to my original plan.
Can VdP still win yesss have i made it 100x harder for him also yes
To me Hirschi, Schmiid must have huge chances with their DH stat, also watch out for Sprenger for Spark with 80+ DH
And for similar reasons i wouldn't be high on Benoot here or Muller think the DH/Gravel may just ruin their stamina, similar comments apply to Per the course is probably too hard.
So you're saying I should start asking for this race to be moved to PTHC so I can win it with 85 DH Zumer?
"I am a cyclist, I may not be the best, but that is what I strive to be. I may never get there, but I will never quit trying." - Tadej Pogačar
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| jt1109 |
Posted on 11-11-2026 10:05
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Classics Specialist

Posts: 3792
Joined: 23-07-2008
PCM$: 800.00
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cunego59 wrote:
jt1109 wrote:
To me Hirschi, Schmiid must have huge chances with their DH stat, also watch out for Sprenger for Spark with 80+ DH
And for similar reasons i wouldn't be high on Benoot here or Muller think the DH/Gravel may just ruin their stamina, similar comments apply to Per the course is probably too hard.
I thought about highlighting DH more, as I know you found some influence in your testing (and Heine maybe, too). But looking at last year with the same engine already, places 2 through 4 had 69, 66 and 71 DH, all ahead of Hirschi. Maybe that's the outlier compared to your tests which are more representative as a baseline, but it was enough for me to not put too much emphasis on it. I guess we'll find out
As for my team, I think Madouas is probably too weak on cobbles, and I hope his inclusion doesn't mess up the hierarchy with Girmay and Habimana. Both of them are Top 15 material I reckon, and I hope at least one of them gets there. Three riders in the points (either Madouas or Kuypers as the third) would be ideal.
I would say 70+ is more then enough; there are definitely other factors at play than just DH but a very high DH stat seems to have a huge impact i.e Spengler will probably be in the Benoot range in this race to me because of the offset impact of both. while Sprenger can climb well enough and has good ST which are both factors here for sure.
Theres also things like I mentioned above which role your riders get is going to have a impact because the roads are narrow and leaders tend to be further forward in the bunch a badly positioned rider with the ideal stats (VdP) will still be worse then a less ideal rider who hasn't used their energy up |
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| jt1109 |
Posted on 11-11-2026 10:06
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Classics Specialist

Posts: 3792
Joined: 23-07-2008
PCM$: 800.00
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redordead wrote:
jt1109 wrote:
Heine wrote:
Van Der Poel and Hirschi my big favorites here with VdP as the main one. Downhill plays a role on the gravel and I think that is what pushes it for me
Would have agreed with this completely if the manager for Bianchi hadn't made a braindead move in planning
At some point I tried Lapeira and VdP in this together and it went terrible (VdP stays at the back as he has a free role so it takes him longer to come through the group and sometimes the race is gone), while Lapeira doesn't climb well enough to get through the white roads.
Okay i thought no worries I won't do that in season.
Soo.......... imagine my surprise looking at the startlist i've double checked and i've just not changed back to my original plan.
Can VdP still win yesss have i made it 100x harder for him also yes
To me Hirschi, Schmiid must have huge chances with their DH stat, also watch out for Sprenger for Spark with 80+ DH
And for similar reasons i wouldn't be high on Benoot here or Muller think the DH/Gravel may just ruin their stamina, similar comments apply to Per the course is probably too hard.
So you're saying I should start asking for this race to be moved to PTHC so I can win it with 85 DH Zumer? 
Yeah he'd very good. In testing we saw Kwanele Jele be top 15/10 repeatedly. Pidcock is obviously the ideal rider for this in theory |
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| Mresuperstar |
Posted on 11-11-2026 11:00
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Grand Tour Champion

Posts: 7976
Joined: 22-06-2009
PCM$: 850.00
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First goal race of the season! Looking for a win from our superstar Jorgenson. Had I know about DH effect, I probably would have brought Canal instead of JPL here. But, maybe that would have messed up PCM with Jorgenson's chances? Regardless...
Thanks for the preview and looking forward to the report!
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| Ulrich Ulriksen |
Posted on 11-11-2026 14:04
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Directeur Sportif

Posts: 4407
Joined: 02-11-2010
PCM$: 300.00
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I reported this last year and MvdP was dominant, would have put him as they heavy favorite again, interesting to see if JT's forecast of trouble is right.
Simmons looks to be in the top 20 but not the top 10, we could do with an overperformance.
Man Game: McCormick Pro Cycling
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| AbhishekLFC |
Posted on 11-11-2026 14:49
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Directeur Sportif

Posts: 13461
Joined: 27-07-2015
PCM$: 2061.50
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First hilly classic for improved MVD. It's not exactly a straight-forward hilly race, so a bit difficult for us to have specific expectations. However, Top 10 is a minimum for us to be satisfied. He has enough of hybrid capabilities to be able to keep up at the front.
Thanks for the preview cunego
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| seancoll |
Posted on 11-11-2026 14:49
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Protected Rider

Posts: 1129
Joined: 20-12-2022
PCM$: 500.00
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We didn't have the full history for McCarthy ready and hopefully his declines don't push him too far down the pecking order, but really glad that he's legitimately ranked in the favorites. Anything top 12 would be fine with us or somehow finding a 2nd in the top 30 would do us good here.
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| Fabianski |
Posted on 11-11-2026 16:24
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Team Leader

Posts: 5559
Joined: 29-09-2018
PCM$: 185.00
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First big test for Mauro! A Top 5 definitely is the expectation here, and that should be possible if he doesn't go for any long-range attacks... From winning to missing out on the Top 10, anything is possible, but a solid Top 5 will do.
@Ulrich, I actually think that Simmons is in a pretty good position here. He's not among the top favourites, so no-one will expect him to work in the group - and his overall skillset looks pretty good for this race. But yeah, I know what it's like to have a low-stamina dude ^^
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| TheManxMissile |
Posted on 11-11-2026 18:56
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Tour de France Champion

Posts: 18104
Joined: 12-05-2012
PCM$: 0.00
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Expectedly stacked field. Roll the dice with Eriksson/Lagane and see what happens.
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| Marcovdw |
Posted on 11-11-2026 21:42
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Grand Tour Champion

Posts: 8021
Joined: 04-07-2012
PCM$: 25845.00
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Van Niekerk did well here last time. His season opener Down Under was quite down, so if this is another downer we're looking at a long season
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| Jakstar22 |
Posted on 11-11-2026 22:21
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Grand Tour Champion

Posts: 7770
Joined: 11-04-2012
PCM$: 200.00
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I am not expecting much from here but I would love to see the team show some presence.
This race is more of a growing race for the younger guys tbh.
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| Dippofix |
Posted on 11-11-2026 22:54
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Grand Tour Specialist

Posts: 4129
Joined: 29-01-2013
PCM$: 300.00
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Have the main puncheurs here but not expecting much as they're awful on cobbles and nothing to write home about descending either. Would be good to at least pick up some minor points but not necessarily holding my breath. Thanks for the preview and good luck everyone, let's see if JT has outplanned himself here or if VdP can repeat.
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